L’École des cotes

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Dalian Yingbo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shenzhen Peng City FC 1–1 Dalian Yingbo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Prévision 37.01%2.70cote équitable
EV -1.55%
Avantage -0.581%
Kelly -0.931%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.19%36.98%36.94%38.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.6643.48%40.23%40.00%37.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dalian Yingbo (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.07%2.85cote équitable
EV -1.81%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.88%35.07%35.11%36.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.642.622.8042.02%37.95%38.17%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.92%3.58cote équitable
EV -2.29%
Avantage -0.653%
Kelly -0.914%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.92%27.95%27.95%30.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.53%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23%EV -1.55%E -0.581%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.51%E -0.902%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.11%EV -7.59%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 11:20
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.03%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -3.91%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 11:30
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.51%EV -4.61%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:28
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.51%EV -4.61%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -1.81%E -0.645%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:30
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:30
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:20
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 36.97%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.31%EV -6.37%E -2.38%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 10:48
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 11:29
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 11:30
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -5.99%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.653%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 11:19
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 10:40
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 10:40
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.57%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.19%EV -7.84%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -3.96%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.02%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:39
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.02%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:40
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 10:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 09:50
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 10:40
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -16.54%E -6.95%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -19.60%E -6.80%K -10.42%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 09:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -15.83%E -6.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-19 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.57%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-19 11:09
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-19 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-05-19 11:30