La escuela de los momios

Shenzhen Peng City FC v Dalian Yingbo

Inicio: 2026-05-19 11:35 UTC

Final: Shenzhen Peng City FC 1–1 Dalian Yingbo

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Local)

Predicción 37.01%2.70momio equitativo
EV -1.55%
Ventaja -0.581%
Kelly -0.931%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.19%36.98%36.94%38.16%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.502.6643.48%40.23%40.00%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dalian Yingbo (Visitante)

Predicción 35.07%2.85momio equitativo
EV -1.81%
Ventaja -0.645%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.88%35.07%35.11%36.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.642.622.8042.02%37.95%38.17%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.92%3.58momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.653%
Kelly -0.914%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.92%27.95%27.95%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.53%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.23%EV -1.55%E -0.581%K -0.931%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -2.51%E -0.902%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.11%EV -7.59%E -2.29%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-19 11:20
LowVig.ag2.64I 37.88%NM 36.03%EV -2.29%E -0.866%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -3.91%E -1.43%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-19 11:30
Bovada2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.51%EV -4.61%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:28
BetUS2.63I 38.02%NM 35.69%EV -2.66%E -1.01%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.51%EV -4.61%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.80%EV -12.06%E -3.83%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -1.81%E -0.645%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.64%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-19 11:30
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.01%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:30
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:20
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:30
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.81%EV -3.77%E -1.45%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.54%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 11:20
GTbets2.55I 39.22%NM 36.97%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.31%EV -6.37%E -2.38%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 10:48
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -13.45%E -4.34%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-19 11:29
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -5.62%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -16.24%E -5.41%K -8.12%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-19 11:30
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.78%EV -5.99%E -2.36%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -5.36%E -1.58%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.07%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -2.29%E -0.653%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-19 11:19
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 10:39
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 10:40
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 10:40
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -10.57%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.08%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:20
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:20
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 11:20
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.12%E -3.10%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -7.47%E -2.99%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-19 11:20
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.19%EV -7.84%E -3.15%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.89%EV -9.52%E -3.69%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.92%EV -3.96%E -1.15%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Unibet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.90%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.39%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-19 09:50
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.02%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:39
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.41%EV -6.02%E -2.24%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 10:40
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 10:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -9.32%E -3.80%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.24%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 11:20
BetRivers2.43I 41.15%NM 38.09%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -5.31%E -1.97%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 09:50
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.69%EV -10.06%E -4.14%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.56%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -7.07%E -2.67%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.87%E -2.38%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-19 09:50
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -6.47%E -1.93%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 10:40
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.19%EV -11.17%E -4.65%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 35.49%EV -16.54%E -6.95%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.32%EV -19.60%E -6.80%K -10.42%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-19 11:20
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -8.82%E -3.39%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -9.27%E -2.85%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 09:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -11.91%E -5.00%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -15.83%E -6.60%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-19 11:10
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -10.57%E -4.15%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-19 11:09
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -14.87%E -6.47%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.33%E -4.93%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -10.66%E -3.33%K -4.85%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-19 10:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 34.73%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.08%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-19 11:30
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 35.93%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.89%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.18%3.1%2026-05-19 11:30