Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.90
assuming max odds 3.89
assuming max odds 4.05
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 50.61%; Zhejiang (Visit): 25.74%; Draw: 23.65%. For Zhejiang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.885. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.890, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.117%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.94%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV +0.117%E +0.030%K +0.041%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -8.01%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.99%EV -1.17%E -0.305%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -4.22%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 11:28 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.49%E -0.930%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-15 11:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.49%E -0.930%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-15 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 11:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-15 11:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 01:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 01:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 01:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 01:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 01:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-11 01:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-11 01:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-15 10:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-15 10:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-11 01:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-11 01:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 11:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.95%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-11 01:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-11 01:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-15 11:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-15 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-15 10:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.96%E -8.21%K -19.94%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-05-15 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-15 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-15 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-15 10:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -21.96%E -6.65%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 18.4% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.31%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.04%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.35%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-15 10:24 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73% | 0.4% | 2026-05-15 11:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66% | 0.6% | 2026-05-15 11:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.42% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 4.9% | 2026-05-15 10:50 |