La scuola delle quote

Shanghai SIPG FC v Zhejiang

Inizio: 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

Finale: Shanghai SIPG FC 2–2 Zhejiang

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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46 bookmaker (17 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Casa)

Previsione 50.61%1.98quota equa
EV -3.83%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -4.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.82%50.56%50.70%51.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.831.831.9058.82%54.75%54.64%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zhejiang (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.74%3.89quota equa
EV +0.117%
Vantaggio +0.030%
Kelly +0.041%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.89

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.03%25.76%25.64%27.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.603.603.8930.77%27.80%27.78%25.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 23.65%4.23quota equa
EV -4.22%
Vantaggio -1.04%
Kelly -1.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.91%23.68%23.67%25.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.823.804.0530.30%26.21%26.32%24.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (46 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.94%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV +0.117%E +0.030%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -8.01%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:24
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:25
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:24
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.99%EV -1.17%E -0.305%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -4.22%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 11:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:28
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.49%E -0.930%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:23
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.49%E -0.930%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:25
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:29
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:34
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:34
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 01:34
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 10:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:19
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 10:40
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 10:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 01:24
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:09
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.95%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 10:40
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 01:34
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 01:34
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 11:29
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:13
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-15 11:19
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 10:35
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.96%E -8.21%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:30
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-15 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -21.96%E -6.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-15 11:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.31%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.35%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-15 10:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.4%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%4.9%2026-05-15 10:50