L’École des cotes

Shanghai SIPG FC v Zhejiang

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-15 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai SIPG FC 2–2 Zhejiang

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 50.61%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.83%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.82%50.56%50.70%51.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.831.831.9058.82%54.75%54.64%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Zhejiang (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.74%3.89cote équitable
EV +0.117%
Avantage +0.030%
Kelly +0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.03%25.76%25.64%27.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.603.603.8930.77%27.80%27.78%25.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.65%4.23cote équitable
EV -4.22%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.91%23.68%23.67%25.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.823.804.0530.30%26.21%26.32%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.94%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV +0.117%E +0.030%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.03%EV -8.01%E -2.06%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:24
LowVig.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:25
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -0.912%E -0.237%K -0.320%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.90%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-15 11:24
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 51.32%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.99%EV -1.17%E -0.305%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV -4.22%E -1.04%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 11:29
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.20%E -0.579%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 11:28
Bovada1.84I 54.35%NM 51.11%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -3.49%E -0.930%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-15 11:23
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.82%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -3.49%E -0.930%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-15 11:25
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.94%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.92%EV -4.26%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -9.19%E -2.39%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:10
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.69%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.77%E -1.29%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.70%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-15 11:15
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:29
betPARX1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:29
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:34
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:34
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:34
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-11 01:35
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.34%EV -6.06%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 01:34
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -6.87%E -3.73%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-15 10:35
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 11:19
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 10:40
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.70%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.63%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.66%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-15 10:35
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:19
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-11 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-11 01:24
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -7.35%E -2.04%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 11:09
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.37%EV -7.88%E -4.33%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.82%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.95%E -2.33%K -3.14%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 10:40
Virgin Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 01:34
LiveScore Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 49.86%EV -8.39%E -4.63%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -8.63%E -2.43%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.72%EV -13.68%E -3.75%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-11 01:34
Coolbet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -3.83%E -2.02%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-15 11:29
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-15 11:13
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:00
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-15 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.92%E -2.83%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -14.87%E -4.13%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-15 11:19
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.57%EV -8.89%E -4.94%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.04%EV -6.59%E -1.67%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-15 10:35
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.22%EV -13.96%E -8.21%K -19.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.24%EV -11.21%E -3.25%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.54%EV -12.50%E -3.38%K -4.63%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-15 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -5.35%E -2.86%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -5.41%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-15 11:30
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -6.36%E -3.44%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.77%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-15 11:30
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -7.38%E -4.03%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -12.49%E -3.67%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.32%E -3.02%K -4.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-15 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.37%EV -11.93%E -6.86%K -16.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-15 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.82%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -15.07%E -4.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.59%EV -21.96%E -6.65%K -9.55%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-15 11:24
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 50.31%EV -12.44%E -7.19%K -17.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.78%EV -16.35%E -5.03%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.91%EV -10.14%E -2.67%K -3.62%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-15 10:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.91%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.73%0.4%2026-05-15 11:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Matchbook1.93I 51.81%NM 51.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-05-15 11:24
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 50.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%4.9%2026-05-15 10:50