Language:English
Shanghai SIPG FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Prediction 51.30%1.95fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -2.76%
Kelly -6.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.43%51.37%51.15%53.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.791.801.8558.48%55.89%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit)
Prediction 22.73%4.40fair odd
EV +4.54%
Edge +0.986%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.057%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.61%22.58%22.92%24.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.134.204.6027.40%24.19%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.690%
Kelly -0.941%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.05%25.94%27.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.513.553.7532.26%28.46%28.17%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 51.30%; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit): 22.73%; Draw: 25.98%. For Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.40. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.54%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 52.14%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV +1.36%E +0.304%K +0.392%G +0.005% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.35%EV -5.44%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 10:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 10:18 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.65%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -0.462%E -0.105%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -1.60%E -0.369%K -0.480%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 10:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.56%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.72%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -3.42%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -10.74%E -6.17%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -3.42%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -8.18%E -4.57%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.24I 23.58%NM 21.95%EV -3.64%E -0.859%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.07%EV -7.26%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-23 10:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.59%E -0.690%K -0.941%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 10:48 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-23 10:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -12.51%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.51%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.98%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-23 10:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.20%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-23 10:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -11.26%E -6.51%K -15.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -19.47%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-23 10:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.48%EV -10.74%E -6.17%K -14.52%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -17.05%E -4.67%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.76% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57% | 0.3% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 10:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 10:29 |