La escuela de los momios

Shanghai SIPG FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Inicio: 2026-05-23 11:00 UTC

Final: Shanghai SIPG FC 1–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Predicción 51.30%1.95momio equitativo
EV -5.10%
Ventaja -2.76%
Kelly -6.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.43%51.37%51.15%53.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.791.801.8558.48%55.89%55.56%54.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visitante)

Predicción 22.73%4.40momio equitativo
EV +4.54%
Ventaja +0.986%
Kelly +1.26%
Crecimiento +0.057%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.61%22.58%22.92%24.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.134.204.6027.40%24.19%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.98%3.85momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -0.690%
Kelly -0.941%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.05%25.94%27.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.513.553.7532.26%28.46%28.17%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 10:49
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 10:50
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 10:49
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.14%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV +1.36%E +0.304%K +0.392%G +0.005%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.35%EV -5.44%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 10:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 10:18
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.65%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -0.462%E -0.105%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 10:49
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -1.60%E -0.369%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 10:19
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:30
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.56%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 10:49
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.72%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 10:29
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -3.42%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -10.74%E -6.17%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -3.42%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 10:29
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -8.18%E -4.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.95%EV -3.64%E -0.859%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.07%EV -7.26%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 10:29
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 10:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 10:18
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 10:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 10:29
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.59%E -0.690%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 10:29
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 10:29
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 10:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 10:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 10:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 10:48
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 10:29
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 10:29
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 10:29
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 10:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -12.51%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 10:29
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.51%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.98%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 10:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.20%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -11.26%E -6.51%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -19.47%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-23 10:19
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.48%EV -10.74%E -6.17%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -17.05%E -4.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 10:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-23 10:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-23 10:29