L’École des cotes

Shanghai SIPG FC v Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-23 11:00 UTC

Score final : Shanghai SIPG FC 1–1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 51.30%1.95cote équitable
EV -5.10%
Avantage -2.76%
Kelly -6.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.43%51.37%51.15%53.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.791.801.8558.48%55.89%55.56%54.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.73%4.40cote équitable
EV +4.54%
Avantage +0.986%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.057%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.61%22.58%22.92%24.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.134.204.6027.40%24.19%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.98%3.85cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -0.690%
Kelly -0.941%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.01%26.05%25.94%27.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.513.553.7532.26%28.46%28.17%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 10:49
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 10:50
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.68%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.54%E +0.986%K +1.26%G +0.057%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-23 10:49
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 52.14%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.51%EV +1.36%E +0.304%K +0.392%G +0.005%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.35%EV -5.44%E -1.50%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 10:40
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.17%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -0.007%E -0.002%K -0.002%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -3.89%E -1.05%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 10:18
1xBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.65%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.81%EV -0.462%E -0.105%K -0.137%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.54%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 10:49
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.90%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -1.60%E -0.369%K -0.480%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 10:19
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 51.32%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:30
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:30
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 52.54%EV -9.20%E -5.20%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.09%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -8.56%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-23 10:49
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 52.49%EV -9.72%E -5.52%K -12.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.48%EV -2.28%E -0.530%K -0.691%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.02%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-23 10:29
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.50%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -3.42%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-23 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.45%EV -10.74%E -6.17%K -14.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.47%EV -3.42%E -0.804%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 10:29
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 51.99%EV -8.18%E -4.57%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.95%EV -3.64%E -0.859%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.07%EV -7.26%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 10:29
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.62%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 10:29
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 10:49
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-23 10:18
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 10:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 52.55%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.40%EV -4.55%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.05%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-23 10:29
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.13%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -2.59%E -0.690%K -0.941%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 10:29
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.73%EV -5.61%E -3.05%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 10:29
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.87%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 10:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 10:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -6.48%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 10:19
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -9.08%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 10:48
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:50
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -5.10%E -2.76%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -9.10%E -2.27%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 10:49
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 10:29
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.67%EV -6.64%E -3.65%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.35%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-23 10:29
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.81%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.28%EV -10.23%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-23 10:29
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -7.15%E -3.95%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -7.78%E -2.19%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-23 10:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.23%EV -7.66%E -4.26%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-23 10:39
Winamax (DE)1.78I 56.18%NM 51.28%EV -8.69%E -4.88%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -12.51%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -5.18%E -1.42%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-23 10:29
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 49.47%EV -6.13%E -3.35%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.51%E -3.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.02%EV -12.98%E -3.87%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-23 10:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 50.23%EV -10.23%E -5.85%K -13.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -14.28%E -4.33%K -6.21%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-23 10:49
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.20%EV -12.28%E -7.18%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.04%EV -13.64%E -3.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.75%EV -11.68%E -3.43%K -4.87%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-23 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -11.26%E -6.51%K -15.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -19.47%E -6.28%K -9.27%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-23 10:19
Winamax (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 50.48%EV -10.74%E -6.17%K -14.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -17.05%E -4.67%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -10.38%E -3.01%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-23 10:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.76%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.68%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%0.3%2026-05-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-23 10:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.50%0.6%2026-05-23 10:50
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.50%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.75%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.0%2026-05-23 10:29