The School of Odds

Shanghai SIPG FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

2026-07-25 11:35 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prediction 44.16%2.26fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -3.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.03%44.28%43.92%46.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.082.1652%49%48%46%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit)

Prediction 30.97%3.23fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.64%30.98%31.12%32.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.622.922.903.0738%34%34%33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.86%4.02fair odd
EV -0.542%
Edge -0.136%
Kelly -0.181%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%24.74%24.96%25.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.353.683.604.0030%27%28%25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.16%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.07%EV -4.91%E -1.60%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.77%EV -4.27%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-18 12:10
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 43.88%EV -4.61%E -2.14%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.18%EV -5.84%E -1.92%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-18 12:50
Marathon Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.13%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.69%E -2.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -7.01%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 12:00
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:55
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.49%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-18 11:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 12:45
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 12:45
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 12:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.26%E -3.46%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-18 12:45
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.18%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.49%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-18 12:05
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 43.72%EV -8.15%E -3.92%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.36%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-18 12:00
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-18 11:50
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.93%EV -9.47%E -4.62%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.17%E -3.51%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -1.79%E -0.452%K -0.605%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 12:05
SportsBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.78%EV -10.35%E -5.10%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-18 12:05
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.08%E -2.36%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.542%E -0.136%K -0.181%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-18 12:05
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.75%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.25%EV -13.27%E -4.74%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-18 11:55
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.67%EV -11.68%E -5.84%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.64%EV -11.72%E -4.11%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.69%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-18 11:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 45.66%EV -13.89%E -7.12%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -10.79%E -3.75%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.43%EV -5.52%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-18 12:05
Winamax (FR)1.94I 51.55%NM 43.52%EV -14.33%E -7.39%K -15.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.27%EV -16.37%E -6.06%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.20%EV -16.70%E -4.99%K -7.11%G +0.000%18.4%2026-07-18 11:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 43.65%EV -15.65%E -8.20%K -17.20%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 31.82%EV -18.85%E -7.19%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.52%EV -15.46%E -4.55%K -6.44%G +0.000%19.9%2026-07-18 12:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-18 13:05