Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.64
assuming max odds 2.62
assuming max odds 4.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 37.71%; Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visit): 37.95%; Draw: 24.34%. For Shanghai SIPG FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.65. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.64, with an expected value of -0.434%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.44%EV -0.434%E -0.164%K -0.265%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.95%EV -6.27%E -2.54%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -8.17%E -3.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -8.17%E -3.38%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -8.97%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 11:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 11:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 11:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 11:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-25 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.81%EV -7.98%E -3.27%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -0.580%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.05%EV -8.00%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 10:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-07-25 11:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -9.86%E -4.13%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -6.65%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-25 11:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-25 11:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-25 11:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-25 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-25 10:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -15.14%E -6.73%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-07-25 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 39.32%EV -18.91%E -8.80%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.43%EV -16.52%E -7.51%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-07-25 11:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88% | 0.5% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 11:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-25 11:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73% | 1.1% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 2.1% | 2026-07-25 11:30 |