La escuela de los momios

Shanghai SIPG FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Inicio: 2026-07-25 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai SIPG FC 2–0 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

48 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Predicción 37.71%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.434%
Ventaja -0.164%
Kelly -0.265%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.44%37.74%37.58%39.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.422.402.6446.51%41.30%41.67%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visitante)

Predicción 37.95%2.64momio equitativo
EV -0.580%
Ventaja -0.221%
Kelly -0.358%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.14%37.91%38.05%38.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.462.452.6245.45%40.67%40.82%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.34%4.11momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.661%
Kelly -0.881%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.25%24.35%24.36%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.773.754.0028.17%26.56%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.44%EV -0.434%E -0.164%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.95%EV -6.27%E -2.54%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 11:30
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 11:30
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 11:29
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:29
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -8.17%E -3.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 11:25
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -8.17%E -3.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -8.97%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:30
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 11:29
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 11:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 11:15
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 11:10
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:05
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:29
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:30
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:19
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:19
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:20
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 11:30
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 38.81%EV -7.98%E -3.27%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -0.580%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.05%EV -8.00%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 11:29
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 11:15
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 11:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 11:30
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:15
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 11:29
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 11:10
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -9.86%E -4.13%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -6.65%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:14
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:25
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 11:09
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 11:25
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 11:25
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 10:35
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -15.14%E -6.73%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 11:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.32%EV -18.91%E -8.80%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.43%EV -16.52%E -7.51%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-25 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-07-25 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-25 11:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-07-25 11:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-07-25 11:30