L’École des cotes

Shanghai SIPG FC v Shanghai Shenhua FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-25 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai SIPG FC 2–0 Shanghai Shenhua FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 37.71%2.65cote équitable
EV -0.434%
Avantage -0.164%
Kelly -0.265%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.44%37.74%37.58%39.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.422.402.6446.51%41.30%41.67%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.95%2.64cote équitable
EV -0.580%
Avantage -0.221%
Kelly -0.358%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.14%37.91%38.05%38.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.462.452.6245.45%40.67%40.82%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.34%4.11cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.661%
Kelly -0.881%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.25%24.35%24.36%25.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.773.754.0028.17%26.56%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.44%EV -0.434%E -0.164%K -0.265%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.95%EV -6.27%E -2.54%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.61%EV -4.83%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 11:30
BetOnline.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 11:30
LowVig.ag2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -2.70%E -1.05%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.94%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 11:30
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.90%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-25 11:29
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -3.83%E -1.50%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 11:29
1xBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.09%EV -4.96%E -1.97%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.63%EV -8.17%E -3.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 11:25
Marathon Bet2.51I 39.84%NM 36.92%EV -5.34%E -2.13%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.30%EV -8.17%E -3.38%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.78%EV -8.97%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:30
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 11:29
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 37.46%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.22%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.32%EV -6.29%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 11:30
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 11:15
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -5.71%E -2.29%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-25 11:29
Coolbet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 11:10
Tipico (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:05
Bet Victor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:29
betano_uk2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -9.69%E -4.07%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-25 11:30
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:19
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:20
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:19
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 11:20
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -7.60%E -3.10%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 11:30
GTbets2.44I 40.98%NM 38.81%EV -7.98%E -3.27%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.14%EV -0.580%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.05%EV -8.00%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 10:40
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 11:29
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 11:15
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.47%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.23%EV -5.89%E -2.38%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 11:10
betfred_uk2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -2.64%E -0.661%K -0.881%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-25 11:30
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:15
Bet Right2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-25 11:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -13.60%E -3.83%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 11:29
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.49%E -3.95%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -11.16%E -3.06%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 11:10
Codere (IT)2.39I 41.84%NM 38.45%EV -9.86%E -4.13%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.36%EV -6.65%E -2.70%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 11:14
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:25
Unibet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:25
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:24
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.94%EV -10.24%E -4.30%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-25 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.24%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -3.24%E -1.27%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -8.73%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 11:25
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.21%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-25 11:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73%EV -11.37%E -4.84%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.93%E -3.72%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -5.08%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-25 11:09
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 11:25
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -5.13%E -2.05%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 11:25
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -13.26%E -5.76%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -7.03%E -2.87%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -12.38%E -3.44%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-25 10:35
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.66%EV -15.14%E -6.73%K -12.11%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.82%EV -12.72%E -5.53%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -9.95%E -2.69%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-25 11:10
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 39.32%EV -18.91%E -8.80%K -16.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.43%EV -16.52%E -7.51%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.25%EV -7.51%E -1.98%K -2.68%G +0.000%18.3%2026-07-25 11:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-07-25 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-25 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.31%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.88%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-25 11:20
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 36.92%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.35%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-07-25 11:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%2.1%2026-07-25 11:30