Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 11:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prediction 69.71%1.43fair odd
EV -1.02%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -2.42%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.08%69.61%69.75%71.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.331.331.4283.33%75.10%75.19%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit)

Prediction 12.37%8.08fair odd
EV +5.14%
Edge +0.605%
Kelly +0.685%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.82%12.45%12.32%14.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.187.258.5016.67%13.93%13.79%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.92%5.58fair odd
EV +3.06%
Edge +0.533%
Kelly +0.645%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 5.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.76%17.94%17.92%20.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.985.005.7523.81%20.09%20.00%17.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 69.71%; Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit): 12.37%; Draw: 17.92%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.08. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.34%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.06%E +0.533%K +0.645%G +0.020%3.8%2026-03-15 10:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.34%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.06%E +0.533%K +0.645%G +0.020%3.8%2026-03-15 10:50
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 10:55
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%8.41I 11.89%NM 11.12%EV +4.03%E +0.479%K +0.543%G +0.022%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.02%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 10:55
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.42%E -0.258%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.90%E -4.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 10:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 10:55
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -6.80%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 10:55
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV -2.31%E -0.425%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:55
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.53%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -3.21%E -0.595%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:49
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -13.07%E -2.69%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 10:55
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -1.02%E -0.716%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.72%EV -5.99%E -0.789%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.18%EV -9.66%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -5.99%E -0.789%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 10:55
SportsBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 10:55
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.94%EV -3.11%E -2.24%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.11%EV -9.58%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.95%EV -4.29%E -0.803%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Betsson🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -9.70%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.69%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -9.70%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.69%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Everygame🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.32%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 10:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -10.94%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.00%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:55
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.97%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -24.72%E -5.89%K -7.72%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.22%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -16.51%E -2.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -5.00%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 10:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 69.23%EV -16.35%E -13.63%K -81.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.31%EV -16.51%E -2.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.46%EV -19.34%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-15 10:55
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 10:50
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 67.96%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.28%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.76%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -20.84%E -3.26%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -15.76%E -3.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 10:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -10.08%E -7.81%K -34.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.17%E -2.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 66.62%EV -10.78%E -8.42%K -38.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.21%EV -25.78%E -4.30%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.16%EV -20.24%E -4.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-15 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.05%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%0.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-03-15 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.29%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%2.0%2026-03-15 10:55