La escuela de los momios

Shanghai SIPG FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Inicio: 2026-03-15 11:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Predicción 69.71%1.43momio equitativo
EV -1.02%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -2.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.08%69.61%69.75%71.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.331.331.4283.33%75.10%75.19%70.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visitante)

Predicción 12.37%8.08momio equitativo
EV +5.14%
Ventaja +0.605%
Kelly +0.685%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.82%12.45%12.32%14.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.187.258.5016.67%13.93%13.79%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.92%5.58momio equitativo
EV +3.06%
Ventaja +0.533%
Kelly +0.645%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.76%17.94%17.92%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.985.005.7523.81%20.09%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.34%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.06%E +0.533%K +0.645%G +0.020%3.8%2026-03-15 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.34%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.06%E +0.533%K +0.645%G +0.020%3.8%2026-03-15 10:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 10:55
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%8.41I 11.89%NM 11.12%EV +4.03%E +0.479%K +0.543%G +0.022%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.02%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 10:55
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.42%E -0.258%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.90%E -4.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 10:53
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 10:55
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -6.80%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 10:55
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV -2.31%E -0.425%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:55
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.53%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -3.21%E -0.595%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:49
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -13.07%E -2.69%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 10:55
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -1.02%E -0.716%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.72%EV -5.99%E -0.789%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.18%EV -9.66%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 10:50
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -5.99%E -0.789%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 10:55
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 10:55
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.94%EV -3.11%E -2.24%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.11%EV -9.58%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.95%EV -4.29%E -0.803%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -9.70%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.69%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 10:55
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -9.70%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.69%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.32%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 10:50
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -10.94%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.00%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:55
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.97%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -24.72%E -5.89%K -7.72%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.22%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -16.51%E -2.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -5.00%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 10:55
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 69.23%EV -16.35%E -13.63%K -81.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.31%EV -16.51%E -2.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.46%EV -19.34%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-15 10:55
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:55
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 10:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.96%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.28%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.76%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -20.84%E -3.26%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -15.76%E -3.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 10:45
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -10.08%E -7.81%K -34.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.17%E -2.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.62%EV -10.78%E -8.42%K -38.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.21%EV -25.78%E -4.30%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.16%EV -20.24%E -4.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-15 10:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.05%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%0.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-03-15 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.29%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%2.0%2026-03-15 10:55