L’École des cotes

Shanghai SIPG FC v Qingdao West Coast FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 69.71%1.43cote équitable
EV -1.02%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -2.42%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.08%69.61%69.75%71.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.331.331.4283.33%75.10%75.19%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.37%8.08cote équitable
EV +5.14%
Avantage +0.605%
Kelly +0.685%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.82%12.45%12.32%14.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.187.258.5016.67%13.93%13.79%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 17.92%5.58cote équitable
EV +3.06%
Avantage +0.533%
Kelly +0.645%
Croissance +0.020%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.76%17.94%17.92%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.985.005.7523.81%20.09%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.34%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.06%E +0.533%K +0.645%G +0.020%3.8%2026-03-15 10:50
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.91%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.34%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.76%EV +3.06%E +0.533%K +0.645%G +0.020%3.8%2026-03-15 10:50
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 70.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV +5.14%E +0.605%K +0.685%G +0.035%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 10:55
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.86%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%8.41I 11.89%NM 11.12%EV +4.03%E +0.479%K +0.543%G +0.022%5.19I 19.27%NM 18.02%EV -6.98%E -1.34%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 10:55
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 70.86%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -1.42%E -0.258%K -0.315%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Coolbet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.13%EV -5.90%E -4.37%K -16.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.83%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 10:53
PointsBet (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.82%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.61%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 10:55
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 70.64%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -6.80%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -1.05%E -0.131%K -0.149%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-15 10:55
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.12%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV -2.31%E -0.425%K -0.520%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-15 10:55
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 70.53%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.10%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -3.21%E -0.595%K -0.730%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 10:49
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -4.14%E -0.534%K -0.613%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -13.07%E -2.69%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-15 10:55
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -1.02%E -0.716%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.72%EV -5.99%E -0.789%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.04I 19.84%NM 19.18%EV -9.66%E -1.92%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 10:50
Marathon Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 70.17%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.19%EV -5.99%E -0.789%K -0.908%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.39%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.90%E -1.12%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 10:55
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-15 10:55
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 69.11%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.98%EV -7.23%E -0.964%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.91%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 68.94%EV -3.11%E -2.24%K -7.97%G +0.000%7.31I 13.68%NM 13.11%EV -9.58%E -1.31%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 17.95%EV -4.29%E -0.803%K -0.988%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -9.70%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.69%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 10:55
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.42%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.65%EV -9.70%E -1.33%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.93%EV -7.69%E -1.49%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-15 10:55
Everygame1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -10.32%E -1.42%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 10:50
Codere (IT)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.93%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.73%EV -10.94%E -1.52%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.34%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 10:55
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.56%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.32%EV -5.00%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:55
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 68.66%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -13.97%E -2.91%K -3.68%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 66.88%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.42%EV -13.42%E -1.92%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.70%EV -24.72%E -5.89%K -7.72%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-15 10:55
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.22%EV -7.99%E -6.05%K -24.96%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.54%EV -16.51%E -2.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -5.00%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 10:55
PMU (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 69.23%EV -16.35%E -13.63%K -81.76%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 12.31%EV -16.51%E -2.45%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.46%EV -19.34%E -4.30%K -5.53%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-15 10:55
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Unibet1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -14.86%E -3.13%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-15 10:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-15 10:55
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.38%E -7.22%K -31.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -10.38%E -2.08%K -2.60%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-15 10:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.27I 78.74%NM 67.96%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.49%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.28%EV -19.60%E -3.02%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.76%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-15 10:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.26%EV -3.80%E -2.76%K -10.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.29%EV -20.84%E -3.26%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -15.76%E -3.35%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-15 10:45
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:45
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.08%EV -5.20%E -3.82%K -14.44%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.38%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -17.55%E -3.82%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-15 10:45
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.04%EV -10.08%E -7.81%K -34.75%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -22.69%E -3.63%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.91%EV -12.17%E -2.48%K -3.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Unibet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 66.62%EV -10.78%E -8.42%K -38.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.21%EV -25.78%E -4.30%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.16%EV -20.24%E -4.55%K -5.87%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-15 10:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 72.05%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.81%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 72.00%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.57%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.43%0.6%2026-03-15 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.46%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.80%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.74%0.7%2026-03-15 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.39I 71.94%NM 71.29%9.00I 11.11%NM 11.01%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.70%0.9%2026-03-15 10:55
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.64%2.0%2026-03-15 10:55