Language:English
Shanghai SIPG FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)
Prediction 71.45%1.40fair odd
EV -4.26%
Edge -3.18%
Kelly -12.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.34
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.08%71.40%71.34%73.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3481.30%77.49%77.52%74.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
Prediction 12.23%8.17fair odd
EV +3.25%
Edge +0.385%
Kelly +0.436%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 8.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.20%12.26%12.33%13.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.517.508.4415.38%13.31%13.33%11.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 16.32%6.13fair odd
EV -1.78%
Edge -0.295%
Kelly -0.354%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 6.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.31%16.34%16.33%18.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.855.535.606.0220.62%18.09%17.86%16.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 71.45%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 12.23%; Draw: 16.32%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.17. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.69%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 8.44I 11.85%NM 11.37%EV +3.25%E +0.385%K +0.436%G +0.014% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.94%EV -1.78%E -0.295%K -0.354%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.922%E +0.112%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 5.93I 16.86%NM 16.10%EV -3.24%E -0.547%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.27%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +0.922%E +0.112%K +0.127%G +0.001% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV +0.310%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.86%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.36%E -0.425%K -0.487%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -7.81%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.49%EV -6.40%E -4.89%K -20.64%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -5.19%E -0.670%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -7.00%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -5.19%E -0.670%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -20.87%E -4.30%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -5.37%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 10:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-16 13:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 71.36%EV -9.97%E -7.91%K -38.35%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.63%EV -12.12%E -9.85%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -13.52%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.63%EV -12.12%E -9.85%K -52.68%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -13.52%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.80%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 7.49I 13.35%NM 12.67%EV -8.38%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.74I 17.42%NM 16.53%EV -6.34%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.41%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.39%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.52%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.39%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 16.52%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.31%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.92%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.92%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.37%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.37%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 10:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -17.43%E -2.58%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -5.37%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.34%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.34%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 70.32%EV -9.26%E -7.29%K -34.29%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-23 11:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-23 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 11:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 11:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.60% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.60% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 10:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58% | 9.09I 11.00%NM 10.77% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.66% | 2.2% | 2026-08-23 10:25 |