Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Início: 2026-08-23 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai SIPG FC 2–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Previsão 71.45%1.40odd justa
EV -4.26%
Vantagem -3.18%
Kelly -12.52%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.08%71.40%71.34%73.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.231.291.291.3481.30%77.49%77.52%74.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante)

Previsão 12.23%8.17odd justa
EV +3.25%
Vantagem +0.385%
Kelly +0.436%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.20%12.26%12.33%13.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.507.517.508.4415.38%13.31%13.33%11.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 16.32%6.13odd justa
EV -1.78%
Vantagem -0.295%
Kelly -0.354%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.31%16.34%16.33%18.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.855.535.606.0220.62%18.09%17.86%16.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shanghai SIPG FC (Local): 71.45%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante): 12.23%; Empate: 16.32%. Para Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.17. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.44, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.25%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.69%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.37%EV +3.25%E +0.385%K +0.436%G +0.014%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.94%EV -1.78%E -0.295%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 11:00
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.922%E +0.112%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.10%EV -3.24%E -0.547%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.27%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +0.922%E +0.112%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV +0.310%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.86%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.36%E -0.425%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -7.81%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.49%EV -6.40%E -4.89%K -20.64%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -5.19%E -0.670%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -7.00%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 10:50
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -5.19%E -0.670%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -20.87%E -4.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 10:25
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 10:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 10:50
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:00
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -5.37%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 10:50
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:50
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:50
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:30
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:49
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.36%EV -9.97%E -7.91%K -38.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.63%EV -12.12%E -9.85%K -52.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -13.52%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.63%EV -12.12%E -9.85%K -52.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -13.52%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:50
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.80%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.49I 13.35%NM 12.67%EV -8.38%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.53%EV -6.34%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 10:50
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.41%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 11:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.39%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.52%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.39%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.52%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.31%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.92%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.92%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 10:40
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.37%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.37%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -17.43%E -2.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -5.37%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 11:00
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.34%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.34%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.32%EV -9.26%E -7.29%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 10:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-08-23 11:05
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-08-23 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-08-23 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-08-23 10:40
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.77%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.66%2.2%2026-08-23 10:25