Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai SIPG FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai SIPG FC 2–1 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai SIPG FC (Local)

Prévision 71.45%1.40cote équitable
EV -4.26%
Avantage -3.18%
Kelly -12.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.08%71.40%71.34%73.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.231.291.291.3481.30%77.49%77.52%74.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.23%8.17cote équitable
EV +3.25%
Avantage +0.385%
Kelly +0.436%
Croissance +0.014%

avec la cote maximale 8.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.20%12.26%12.33%13.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.507.517.508.4415.38%13.31%13.33%11.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 16.32%6.13cote équitable
EV -1.78%
Avantage -0.295%
Kelly -0.354%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 6.02

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.31%16.34%16.33%18.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.855.535.606.0220.62%18.09%17.86%16.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shanghai SIPG FC (Local) : 71.45% ; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur) : 12.23% ; Match nul : 16.32%. Pour Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.17. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 8.44, soit une espérance positive de +3.25%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.69%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.37%EV +3.25%E +0.385%K +0.436%G +0.014%6.02I 16.61%NM 15.94%EV -1.78%E -0.295%K -0.354%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 11:00
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.57%EV +0.922%E +0.112%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.93I 16.86%NM 16.10%EV -3.24%E -0.547%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 10:50
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.27%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV +0.922%E +0.112%K +0.127%G +0.001%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.34%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 10:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.49%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.20%EV +0.310%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 10:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
Grosvenor🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
TABtouch🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.02%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.46%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.80%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.49%EV -2.14%E -0.267%K -0.305%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.71%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 10:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.86%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.73%EV -3.36%E -0.425%K -0.487%G +0.000%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.41%EV -7.81%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 10:50
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.49%EV -6.40%E -4.89%K -20.64%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.08%EV -5.19%E -0.670%K -0.770%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.43%EV -7.00%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 10:50
PlayUp🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.68%EV -5.19%E -0.670%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.67%EV -20.87%E -4.30%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 10:25
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.15%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 10:25
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -2.10%E -0.350%K -0.420%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 10:50
Bovada🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.84%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.70%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:00
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.71%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.33%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV -5.37%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-23 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-23 10:50
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:50
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:50
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:29
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 10:30
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:50
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-16 13:49
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.36%EV -9.97%E -7.91%K -38.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.99%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.65%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 10:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 71.52%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.56%EV -11.89%E -2.20%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-23 10:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.63%EV -12.12%E -9.85%K -52.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -13.52%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.63%EV -12.12%E -9.85%K -52.68%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.75%EV -8.25%E -1.10%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -13.52%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-23 10:50
GTbets🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.80%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.49I 13.35%NM 12.67%EV -8.38%E -1.12%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.74I 17.42%NM 16.53%EV -6.34%E -1.11%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 10:50
BetUS🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -5.68%E -4.31%K -17.77%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.61%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 11:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.19%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.41%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.40%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-23 11:00
Betsson🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.39%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.52%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 11:00
NordicBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.09%EV -7.83%E -6.07%K -26.99%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.39%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 16.52%EV -9.44%E -1.70%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-23 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 71.35%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.34%EV -9.48%E -1.28%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.31%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-23 11:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.92%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 10:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -4.26%E -3.18%K -12.52%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.06%EV -11.92%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 10:40
LeoVegas🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.83%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -14.37%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.01%EV -6.18%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 11:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -14.37%E -2.05%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -18.42%E -3.68%K -4.60%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-23 10:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.91%EV -8.54%E -6.67%K -30.51%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.45%EV -17.43%E -2.58%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.65%EV -5.37%E -0.925%K -1.12%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 11:00
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.34%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 10:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -7.11%E -5.47%K -23.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -14.34%E -2.73%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-23 10:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 70.32%EV -9.26%E -7.29%K -34.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.95%EV -8.63%E -1.54%K -1.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 11:00
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -10.69%E -8.55%K -42.75%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -20.49%E -3.15%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -10.26%E -1.87%K -2.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-23 10:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-08-23 11:05
Matchbook◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.79%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.97%1.0%2026-08-23 11:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-08-23 10:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.60%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.48%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.92%1.3%2026-08-23 10:40
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 73.58%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.77%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.66%2.2%2026-08-23 10:25