Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.65
assuming max odds 4.85
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 58.57%; Zhejiang (Visit): 20.62%; Draw: 20.81%. For Zhejiang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.851. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.850, with an expected value of -0.011%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 03:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-30 02:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.29%EV -3.94%E -2.40%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.11%E -3.16%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 21.55%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 20.73%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.43%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.73%EV -0.011%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000% | 4.59I 21.79%NM 20.84%EV -4.48%E -0.976%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.27%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 11:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 11:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 11:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 11:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.32%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-07-05 11:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-30 02:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.87%E -4.32%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.10%E -0.660%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -6.87%E -4.32%K -11.64%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.45%E -4.72%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.26%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.45%E -4.72%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.26%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.03%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -6.20%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 11:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.35%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -10.32%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.59%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.16%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -8.63%E -5.53%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -2.07%E -0.436%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-05 11:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -10.97%E -7.22%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -17.54%E -4.38%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -10.51%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-05 11:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.14%E -8.09%K -24.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -17.54%E -4.38%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-07-05 11:04 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.69% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 11:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 11:20 |