La escuela de los momios

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Zhejiang

Inicio: 2026-07-05 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai Shenhua FC 3–2 Zhejiang

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Predicción 58.57%1.71momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -2.03%
Kelly -5.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.00%58.50%58.43%59.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.80%62.50%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Zhejiang (Visitante)

Predicción 20.62%4.85momio equitativo
EV -0.011%
Ventaja -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.53%20.64%20.76%21.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.414.404.8525.00%22.67%22.73%20.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.81%4.81momio equitativo
EV -4.27%
Ventaja -0.928%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.12%20.86%20.82%22.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.354.404.6025.00%23.01%22.73%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 03:00
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:58
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.29%EV -3.94%E -2.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 02:59
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.11%E -3.16%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.55%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.73%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:30
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.43%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.73%EV -0.011%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.84%EV -4.48%E -0.976%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 11:25
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.27%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 11:25
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 11:29
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 11:29
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:20
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:25
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 11:24
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 11:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.32%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 11:29
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 02:59
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.87%E -4.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.10%E -0.660%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:25
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -6.87%E -4.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.45%E -4.72%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.26%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 11:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.45%E -4.72%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.26%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 11:20
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.03%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -6.20%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 11:29
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 11:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 11:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.35%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -10.32%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.59%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:30
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.16%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 11:19
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -8.63%E -5.53%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 11:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -2.07%E -0.436%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:20
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -10.97%E -7.22%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -17.54%E -4.38%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -10.51%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-05 11:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.14%E -8.09%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -17.54%E -4.38%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-05 11:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.69%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-07-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-05 11:30
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-05 11:25
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-07-05 11:20