مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Zhejiang

البداية: 2026-07-05 11:35 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shanghai Shenhua FC 3–2 Zhejiang

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

45 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.57%1.71السعر العادل
EV -3.35%
الأفضلية -2.03%
Kelly -5.16%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.00%58.50%58.43%59.85%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.591.601.6566.67%62.80%62.50%60.61%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zhejiang (الضيف)

التنبؤ 20.62%4.85السعر العادل
EV -0.011%
الأفضلية -0.002%
Kelly -0.003%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.53%20.64%20.76%21.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.414.404.8525.00%22.67%22.73%20.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.81%4.81السعر العادل
EV -4.27%
الأفضلية -0.928%
Kelly -1.19%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.12%20.86%20.82%22.63%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.354.404.6025.00%23.01%22.73%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (45 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:59
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 03:00
betPARX1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -3.35%E -2.03%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.60%EV -11.35%E -2.64%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.11%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-30 02:58
BetRivers1.64I 60.98%NM 56.29%EV -3.94%E -2.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.72%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-30 02:59
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.00%EV -4.53%E -2.78%K -7.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-30 02:59
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.72%EV -5.11%E -3.16%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.55%EV -10.53%E -2.43%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.73%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:30
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.43%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.73%EV -0.011%E -0.002%K -0.003%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.84%EV -4.48%E -0.976%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 11:25
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.59%EV -4.27%E -0.928%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 11:25
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 11:29
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 11:29
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -5.70%E -3.54%K -9.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 11:10
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:20
Bovada1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:25
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.78%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:25
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.50%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -10.73%E -2.48%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.25%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 11:24
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.47%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.63%EV -12.38%E -2.91%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.90%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 11:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.57%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.81%EV -10.32%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.63%EV -16.76%E -4.19%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-05 11:29
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 02:59
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -6.28%E -3.93%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -15.47%E -3.77%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -14.68%E -3.58%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-30 02:59
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -6.87%E -4.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -3.10%E -0.660%K -0.839%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.89%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:25
SportsBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.86%EV -6.87%E -4.32%K -11.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 11:25
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.45%E -4.72%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.26%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 11:20
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.48%EV -7.45%E -4.72%K -12.85%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -8.26%E -1.86%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.76%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 11:20
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.03%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.37%EV -6.20%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 11:29
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 11:20
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 11:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.35%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -10.32%E -2.37%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.59%EV -7.39%E -1.66%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:30
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:10
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:10
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:10
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:09
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.16%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.09%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 11:19
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -8.04%E -5.12%K -14.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -12.59%E -3.00%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 11:20
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.20%EV -8.63%E -5.53%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -13.41%E -3.19%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.18%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 11:20
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -2.07%E -0.436%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.35%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 11:10
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -5.17%E -1.12%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:20
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.74%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.23%E -1.61%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.03%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 11:09
Unibet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.21%E -5.94%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -9.29%E -2.11%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.43%E -1.92%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.69%EV -10.97%E -7.22%K -21.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -17.54%E -4.38%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.39%EV -10.51%E -2.44%K -3.19%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-05 11:19
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -12.14%E -8.09%K -24.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -17.54%E -4.38%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -9.89%E -2.28%K -2.97%G +0.000%14.8%2026-07-05 11:04
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.69%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.55%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.77%0.3%2026-07-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-05 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-05 11:30
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.46%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.86%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-07-05 11:25
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.79%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.61%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.60%2.0%2026-07-05 11:20