Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Kickoff: 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC

Final: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1–2 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prediction 62.68%1.60fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -7.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.47%62.41%62.77%63.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.491.491.5369.44%67.11%67.11%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit)

Prediction 17.37%5.76fair odd
EV +0.023%
Edge +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.43%17.59%17.23%20.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.305.205.205.7623.26%19.23%19.23%17.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.96%5.01fair odd
EV -0.218%
Edge -0.044%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.76%20.00%20.00%21.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.154.524.505.0024.10%22.15%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 62.68%; Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit): 17.37%; Draw: 19.96%. For Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.759. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.760, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.023%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.63%EV +0.023%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 11:40
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -1.02%E -0.179%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:38
BetUS🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 11:50
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -5.36%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:40
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.218%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Right🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:40
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.86%EV -9.01%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -5.41%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:50
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.97%EV -9.18%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.61%EV -9.00%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:49
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.25%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betsson🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.57%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:40
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.57%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:40
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -11.44%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.44%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -14.19%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 11:49
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 11:49
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.65%E -3.47%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.65%E -3.47%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.78%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.12%E -4.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -21.86%E -4.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 60.10%EV -8.49%E -5.81%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -25.33%E -5.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.47%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -25.33%E -5.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -17.18%E -4.14%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 11:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-05-24 11:40