La escuela de los momios

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Inicio: 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC

Final: Shanghai Shenhua FC 1–2 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Predicción 62.68%1.60momio equitativo
EV -4.10%
Ventaja -2.68%
Kelly -7.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.47%62.41%62.77%63.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.491.491.5369.44%67.11%67.11%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visitante)

Predicción 17.37%5.76momio equitativo
EV +0.023%
Ventaja +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.43%17.59%17.23%20.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.305.205.205.7623.26%19.23%19.23%17.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.96%5.01momio equitativo
EV -0.218%
Ventaja -0.044%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.76%20.00%20.00%21.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.154.524.505.0024.10%22.15%22.22%20.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.63%EV +0.023%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 11:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -1.02%E -0.179%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:38
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:40
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 11:50
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -5.36%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.218%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.86%EV -9.01%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -5.41%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:50
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.97%EV -9.18%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.61%EV -9.00%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:30
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:49
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.25%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.57%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:40
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.57%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -11.44%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.44%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -14.19%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 11:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 11:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.65%E -3.47%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.65%E -3.47%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.78%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.12%E -4.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -21.86%E -4.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.10%EV -8.49%E -5.81%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -25.33%E -5.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 11:40
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.47%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -25.33%E -5.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -17.18%E -4.14%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 11:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-05-24 11:40