L’École des cotes

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shenzhen Peng City FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 12:00 UTC

Score final : Shanghai Shenhua FC 1–2 Shenzhen Peng City FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 62.68%1.60cote équitable
EV -4.10%
Avantage -2.68%
Kelly -7.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.47%62.41%62.77%63.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.491.491.5369.44%67.11%67.11%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shenzhen Peng City FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.37%5.76cote équitable
EV +0.023%
Avantage +0.004%
Kelly +0.005%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.43%17.59%17.23%20.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.305.205.205.7623.26%19.23%19.23%17.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.96%5.01cote équitable
EV -0.218%
Avantage -0.044%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.76%20.00%20.00%21.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.154.524.505.0024.10%22.15%22.22%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 63.42%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.76I 17.36%NM 16.63%EV +0.023%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.95%EV -4.21%E -0.877%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-24 11:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.51%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.49%EV -1.02%E -0.179%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:40
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 63.17%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.81%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 11:40
Bovada1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:38
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.76%E -0.492%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-24 11:40
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 11:50
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-24 11:50
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-24 11:40
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-24 11:50
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -4.49%E -0.817%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:40
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.06%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.01%EV -5.36%E -0.984%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.93%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-24 11:40
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 63.38%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -0.218%E -0.044%K -0.055%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-24 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.44%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -5.21%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:40
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.24%EV -7.86%E -5.35%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.12%E -6.29%K -20.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.83%E -1.68%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-24 11:40
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 17.86%EV -9.01%E -1.72%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.74%EV -5.41%E -1.14%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 11:50
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 61.42%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.23I 19.12%NM 17.97%EV -9.18%E -1.76%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.61%EV -9.00%E -1.97%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 11:30
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:49
Unibet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
betPARX1.53I 65.36%NM 60.90%EV -4.10%E -2.68%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.18%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-24 11:50
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 61.07%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.73%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-24 11:50
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.25%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.72%EV -9.70%E -1.87%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -8.20%E -1.78%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.57%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:40
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.61%E -4.44%K -13.49%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -10.57%E -2.05%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.91%EV -7.20%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-24 11:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 60.86%EV -5.36%E -3.55%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.02%EV -11.44%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -13.19%E -3.03%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -11.44%E -2.24%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -14.19%E -3.30%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-24 11:49
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.94%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.78%EV -12.19%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-24 11:30
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 60.82%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.18%EV -15.19%E -3.57%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-24 11:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.17%E -2.63%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-24 11:30
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.65%E -3.47%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -7.24%E -4.89%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.65%E -3.47%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -13.59%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.78%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -20.12%E -4.37%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -6.21%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 11:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -9.74%E -6.77%K -22.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -21.86%E -4.86%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-24 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 60.10%EV -8.49%E -5.81%K -18.45%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -25.33%E -5.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -10.20%E -2.27%K -2.91%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 11:40
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.47%EV -5.98%E -3.99%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.40%EV -25.33%E -5.89%K -7.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -17.18%E -4.14%K -5.45%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-24 11:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Matchbook1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-05-24 11:40
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 64.00%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%2.8%2026-05-24 11:40