Language:English
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Prediction 60.36%1.66fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.993%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.21%60.28%60.29%61.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.551.541.6369.44%64.68%64.94%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 20.14%4.96fair odd
EV +1.92%
Edge +0.380%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.009%
assuming max odds 5.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.92%20.21%20.13%21.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.464.505.0625.00%22.45%22.22%19.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.50%5.13fair odd
EV -2.50%
Edge -0.500%
Kelly -0.625%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.37%19.52%19.58%21.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.69%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 60.36%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 20.14%; Draw: 19.50%. For Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.06, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.92%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.92%EV +1.92%E +0.380%K +0.474%G +0.009% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.30%EV -3.28%E -0.661%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -1.30%E -0.265%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 11:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.36%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -4.32%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-28 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.32%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.43%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.72I 21.19%NM 19.78%EV -4.93%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.97I 20.12%NM 18.79%EV -3.08%E -0.621%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.54%EV -4.64%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-28 11:28 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 11:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-28 11:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.06%EV -1.62%E -0.993%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.41%EV -10.97%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.53%EV -10.10%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-28 04:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-28 11:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-28 11:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.95%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-28 11:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -15.56%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -15.56%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.21%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -16.15%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.22%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -17.12%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.35%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-28 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -13.09%E -9.09%K -29.74%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-28 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.28% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.42% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.42% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61% | 1.4% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44% | 2.9% | 2026-08-28 11:30 |