Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Início: 2026-08-28 11:35 UTC

Final: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–3 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Previsão 60.36%1.66odd justa
EV -1.62%
Vantagem -0.993%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.21%60.28%60.29%61.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.441.551.541.6369.44%64.68%64.94%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)

Previsão 20.14%4.96odd justa
EV +1.92%
Vantagem +0.380%
Kelly +0.474%
Crescimento +0.009%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.92%20.21%20.13%21.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.464.505.0625.00%22.45%22.22%19.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.50%5.13odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -0.500%
Kelly -0.625%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.37%19.52%19.58%21.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.69%21.74%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 60.36%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante): 20.14%; Empate: 19.50%. Para Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.96. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.06, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.92%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.92%EV +1.92%E +0.380%K +0.474%G +0.009%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.30%EV -3.28%E -0.661%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -1.30%E -0.265%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.36%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -4.32%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 11:20
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.32%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 11:30
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.43%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 19.78%EV -4.93%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.79%EV -3.08%E -0.621%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 11:30
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.54%EV -4.64%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 11:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 11:28
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 11:25
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:29
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:29
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.06%EV -1.62%E -0.993%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.41%EV -10.97%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.53%EV -10.10%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 04:30
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:25
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.95%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 11:24
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -15.56%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -15.56%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.21%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -16.15%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.22%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -17.12%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.35%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 09:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -13.09%E -9.09%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.28%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.0%2026-08-28 11:30
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.0%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.42%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.42%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-08-28 11:30
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-08-28 11:30