Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-28 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–3 Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 60.36%1.66cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.993%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.21%60.28%60.29%61.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.551.541.6369.44%64.68%64.94%61.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.14%4.96cote équitable
EV +1.92%
Avantage +0.380%
Kelly +0.474%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 5.06

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.92%20.21%20.13%21.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.464.505.0625.00%22.45%22.22%19.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.50%5.13cote équitable
EV -2.50%
Avantage -0.500%
Kelly -0.625%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.37%19.52%19.58%21.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.614.605.0023.81%21.69%21.74%20.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local) : 60.36% ; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur) : 20.14% ; Match nul : 19.50%. Pour Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.96. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.06, soit une espérance positive de +1.92%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.77%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%5.06I 19.76%NM 18.92%EV +1.92%E +0.380%K +0.474%G +0.009%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.30%EV -3.28%E -0.661%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-28 11:30
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -1.30%E -0.265%K -0.333%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.70%EV -6.40%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.78%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -3.31%E -0.690%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 11:29
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.36%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -4.32%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-28 11:20
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.82%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -4.32%E -0.910%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 11:30
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.43%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 19.78%EV -4.93%E -1.04%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.79%EV -3.08%E -0.621%K -0.777%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-28 11:30
FanDuel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.37%EV -8.86%E -5.87%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.91%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-28 11:30
BetUS🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.54%EV -4.64%E -2.93%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-28 11:25
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-28 11:28
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-28 11:25
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-28 11:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.51%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -14.20%E -3.23%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.62%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.75%EV -7.34%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-28 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 11:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -7.37%E -1.55%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-28 11:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -2.50%E -0.500%K -0.625%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:10
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.63%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:29
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.79%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-28 11:29
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.06%EV -1.62%E -0.993%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.41%EV -10.97%E -2.48%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.53%EV -10.10%E -2.19%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 04:30
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.94%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.61%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-28 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.05%E -4.58%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-28 11:25
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-28 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.99%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.45%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -10.30%E -2.24%K -2.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-28 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.73%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.36%EV -11.37%E -2.58%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-28 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.58%EV -2.22%E -1.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.95%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.91%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-28 11:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.80%EV -8.26%E -5.43%K -15.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.55%EV -4.45%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-28 11:24
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -15.56%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.90%EV -6.45%E -4.16%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -15.40%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.73%EV -15.56%E -3.59%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-28 11:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.21%EV -5.24%E -3.34%K -9.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -16.15%E -3.76%K -4.89%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-28 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.22%EV -5.84%E -3.75%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.77%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.00%EV -17.12%E -4.03%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-28 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.35%EV -9.46%E -6.31%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%EV -17.41%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.94%EV -8.35%E -1.78%K -2.26%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-28 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 09:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -7.65%E -5.00%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.10%E -4.31%K -5.66%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-28 09:10
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.52%EV -13.09%E -9.09%K -29.74%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.43%EV -19.43%E -4.86%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -12.25%E -2.72%K -3.50%G +0.000%16.7%2026-08-28 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.28%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.04%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.68%1.0%2026-08-28 11:30
Matchbook◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.03%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.0%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.42%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-08-28 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.42%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.97%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%1.4%2026-08-28 11:30
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.44%2.9%2026-08-28 11:30