Language:English
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Prediction 79.02%1.27fair odd
EV -5.18%
Edge -4.32%
Kelly -25.91%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.28%78.94%79.10%81.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.171.181.2088.50%85.38%84.75%83.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit)
Prediction 7.94%12.60fair odd
EV +16.65%
Edge +1.13%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.202%
assuming max odds 14.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.50%8.02%7.78%9.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.6311.9214.7011.11%8.60%8.39%6.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.05%7.66fair odd
EV +5.70%
Edge +0.703%
Kelly +0.802%
Growth +0.046%
assuming max odds 8.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.80%13.04%13.12%15.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.937.008.1018.18%14.42%14.29%12.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 79.02%; Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit): 7.94%; Draw: 13.05%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.60. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.70%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 14.70I 6.80%NM 6.50%EV +16.65%E +1.13%K +1.22%G +0.202% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.80%EV +5.70%E +0.703%K +0.802%G +0.046% | 4.6% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.36%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000% | 13.25I 7.55%NM 6.98%EV +5.15%E +0.388%K +0.420%G +0.022% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 11:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -21.71%E -3.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 12.57I 7.96%NM 7.58%EV -0.251%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.39%EV +0.348%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 11:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 11:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 11.92I 8.39%NM 7.93%EV -5.41%E -0.454%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.26%EV -6.96%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-22 11:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -5.39%E -0.744%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 11:47 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-22 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-22 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 78.81%EV -10.71%E -9.48%K -82.40%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 13.10%EV -11.27%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-22 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -28.23%E -5.13%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-22 11:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -16.68%E -1.59%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.70%EV -3.44%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -16.68%E -1.59%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.70%EV -3.44%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -20.65%E -2.06%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.65%E -2.06%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -5.39%E -0.744%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.61%E -2.59%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 11:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.61%E -2.59%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-22 11:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -28.58%E -3.18%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-22 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79% | 1.0% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 11:49 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77% | 2.0% | 2026-04-22 11:50 |