مدرسة الاحتمالات

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

البداية: 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–0 Qingdao Hainiu FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 79.02%1.27السعر العادل
EV -5.18%
الأفضلية -4.32%
Kelly -25.91%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
76.28%78.94%79.10%81.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.131.171.181.2088.50%85.38%84.75%83.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Qingdao Hainiu FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 7.94%12.60السعر العادل
EV +16.65%
الأفضلية +1.13%
Kelly +1.22%
النمو +0.202%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 14.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
6.50%8.02%7.78%9.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
9.0011.6311.9214.7011.11%8.60%8.39%6.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 13.05%7.66السعر العادل
EV +5.70%
الأفضلية +0.703%
Kelly +0.802%
النمو +0.046%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 8.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
11.80%13.04%13.12%15.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.506.937.008.1018.18%14.42%14.29%12.35%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.70%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%14.70I 6.80%NM 6.50%EV +16.65%E +1.13%K +1.22%G +0.202%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.80%EV +5.70%E +0.703%K +0.802%G +0.046%4.6%2026-04-22 11:49
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.36%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.98%EV +5.15%E +0.388%K +0.420%G +0.022%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 11:45
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 11:45
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:35
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:34
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:34
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 11:35
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -21.71%E -3.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:49
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%12.57I 7.96%NM 7.58%EV -0.251%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.39%EV +0.348%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:44
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:44
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:50
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:50
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:45
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:05
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000%11.92I 8.39%NM 7.93%EV -5.41%E -0.454%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.26%EV -6.96%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:45
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:45
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:45
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:50
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 11:34
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -5.39%E -0.744%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:47
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:45
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:45
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 11:44
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 11:49
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:45
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 11:25
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 11:49
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.81%EV -10.71%E -9.48%K -82.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.10%EV -11.27%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -28.23%E -5.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -16.68%E -1.59%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.70%EV -3.44%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:20
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -16.68%E -1.59%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.70%EV -3.44%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -20.65%E -2.06%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.65%E -2.06%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -5.39%E -0.744%K -0.863%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 11:19
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.61%E -2.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.61%E -2.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -28.58%E -3.18%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 11:19
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-04-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-04-22 11:50