L’École des cotes

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Qingdao Hainiu FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 12:00 UTC

Score final : Shanghai Shenhua FC 2–0 Qingdao Hainiu FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 79.02%1.27cote équitable
EV -5.18%
Avantage -4.32%
Kelly -25.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.28%78.94%79.10%81.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.171.181.2088.50%85.38%84.75%83.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 7.94%12.60cote équitable
EV +16.65%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.202%

avec la cote maximale 14.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.50%8.02%7.78%9.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.6311.9214.7011.11%8.60%8.39%6.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.05%7.66cote équitable
EV +5.70%
Avantage +0.703%
Kelly +0.802%
Croissance +0.046%

avec la cote maximale 8.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.80%13.04%13.12%15.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.937.008.1018.18%14.42%14.29%12.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.70%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%14.70I 6.80%NM 6.50%EV +16.65%E +1.13%K +1.22%G +0.202%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.80%EV +5.70%E +0.703%K +0.802%G +0.046%4.6%2026-04-22 11:49
Marathon Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 80.36%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%13.25I 7.55%NM 6.98%EV +5.15%E +0.388%K +0.420%G +0.022%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 11:45
Coolbet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 11:45
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:35
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:34
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:35
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 11:34
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.82%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.06%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 11:35
PlayUp1.18I 84.75%NM 77.67%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +3.16%E +0.243%K +0.263%G +0.008%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -21.71%E -3.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 11:49
Pinnacle1.19I 84.03%NM 80.04%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%12.57I 7.96%NM 7.58%EV -0.251%E -0.020%K -0.022%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.39%EV +0.348%E +0.045%K +0.052%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 11:44
BetUS1.18I 84.75%NM 79.64%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:49
PointsBet (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 11:44
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 79.91%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:25
Unibet1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:50
Grosvenor1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:50
BetRivers1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
betPARX1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:49
Unibet (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.55%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.72%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.73%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:50
Unibet (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 11:49
Tipico (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:45
betfred_uk1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -4.77%E -0.398%K -0.434%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:05
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 78.80%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000%11.92I 8.39%NM 7.93%EV -5.41%E -0.454%K -0.495%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.26%EV -6.96%E -0.976%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 11:45
NordicBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:45
Betsson1.17I 85.47%NM 79.24%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.06%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.70%EV -4.74%E -0.650%K -0.753%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 11:45
LeoVegas1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.43%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.98%EV -8.74%E -0.760%K -0.833%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.59%EV -11.92%E -1.77%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:50
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -5.97%E -5.02%K -31.43%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 11:34
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 78.74%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.45%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.82%EV -5.39%E -0.744%K -0.863%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 11:47
Codere (IT)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -7.55%E -6.45%K -44.42%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 11:45
Bet Right1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 11:45
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 79.50%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.31%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -2.13%E -0.284%K -0.328%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 11:44
BoyleSports1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.24%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 11:49
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:45
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 78.96%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.18%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 11:25
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 11:49
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -9.13%E -7.94%K -60.88%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-22 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 78.81%EV -10.71%E -9.48%K -82.40%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.10%EV -11.27%E -1.66%K -1.94%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-22 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.28%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 7.91%EV -12.71%E -1.16%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.81%EV -28.23%E -5.13%K -6.27%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 11:29
BetOnline.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -16.68%E -1.59%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.70%EV -3.44%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:20
LowVig.ag1.20I 83.33%NM 78.34%EV -5.18%E -4.32%K -25.91%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -16.68%E -1.59%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.70%EV -3.44%E -0.464%K -0.537%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 11:19
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 77.73%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -20.65%E -2.06%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.10%EV -8.66%E -1.24%K -1.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 11:49
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -8.34%E -7.19%K -52.14%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -20.65%E -2.06%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -5.39%E -0.744%K -0.863%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 11:19
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.61%E -2.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:24
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -6.76%E -5.73%K -37.57%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -24.61%E -2.59%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 11:24
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -9.92%E -8.70%K -70.87%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -28.58%E -3.18%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -15.18%E -2.34%K -2.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 11:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.21I 82.64%NM 81.83%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.39%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.79%1.0%2026-04-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-22 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 81.65%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.59%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.2%2026-04-22 11:49
Kalshi1.22I 81.97%NM 80.38%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85%8.33I 12.00%NM 11.77%2.0%2026-04-22 11:50