A Escola das Odds

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Liaoning Tieren FC

Início: 2026-04-18 12:00 UTC

Final: Shanghai Shenhua FC 3–1 Liaoning Tieren FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

41 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Previsão 66.03%1.51odd justa
EV -4.25%
Vantagem -2.93%
Kelly -9.45%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
63.88%66.01%66.03%68.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.381.401.4575.76%72.28%71.43%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liaoning Tieren FC (Visitante)

Previsão 14.70%6.80odd justa
EV +4.82%
Vantagem +0.676%
Kelly +0.787%
Crescimento +0.038%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.07%14.73%14.60%16.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.206.416.507.1319.23%15.60%15.38%14.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 19.27%5.19odd justa
EV -0.391%
Vantagem -0.076%
Kelly -0.094%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.35%19.26%19.37%20.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.204.784.855.1723.81%20.92%20.62%19.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (41 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.00%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.45%EV +4.82%E +0.676%K +0.787%G +0.038%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.55%EV -0.391%E -0.076%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-18 11:30
LeoVegas1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 08:59
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 08:59
Grosvenor1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 09:00
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 09:00
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 09:00
betPARX1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -11.52%E -8.60%K -33.87%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -12.84%E -9.73%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -0.765%E -0.113%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 09:00
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -12.84%E -9.73%K -40.12%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -0.765%E -0.113%K -0.133%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 09:00
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -1.50%E -0.224%K -0.263%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -3.67%E -0.733%K -0.917%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 04:05
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.86%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -2.97%E -0.450%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.67%E -0.733%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.86%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -2.97%E -0.450%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.67%E -0.733%K -0.917%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 11:30
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 11:30
Bovada1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.63%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 10:55
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.63%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 11:00
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-18 11:30
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 11:30
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 10:59
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-18 11:30
1xBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.45%G +0.000%6.44I 15.53%NM 14.80%EV -5.32%E -0.826%K -0.978%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.49%EV -5.79%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Marathon Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.68%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-18 11:28
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 10:59
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 14:49
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:00
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-18 11:00
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -12.18%E -9.16%K -36.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -19.08%E -4.54%K -5.96%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-18 11:00
NordicBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.05%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -13.26%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.18%EV -6.56%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Betsson1.43I 69.93%NM 65.05%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -13.26%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.18%EV -6.56%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 11:29
Codere (IT)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -14.73%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -9.45%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -19.14%E -3.48%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.88%EV -8.88%E -6.43%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.95%EV -23.55%E -4.53%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-18 11:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 69.00%7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99%-0.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.84%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.13%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-04-18 11:30
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65%1.2%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-04-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-04-18 11:30