L’École des cotesFrançais
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Liaoning Tieren FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)
Prévision 66.03%1.51cote équitable
EV -4.25%
Avantage -2.93%
Kelly -9.45%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.88%66.01%66.03%68.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.381.401.4575.76%72.28%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Liaoning Tieren FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.70%6.80cote équitable
EV +4.82%
Avantage +0.676%
Kelly +0.787%
Croissance +0.038%
avec la cote maximale 7.13
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.07%14.73%14.60%16.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.206.416.507.1319.23%15.60%15.38%14.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 19.27%5.19cote équitable
EV -0.391%
Avantage -0.076%
Kelly -0.094%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 5.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.35%19.26%19.37%20.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.784.855.1723.81%20.92%20.62%19.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.00%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.45%EV +4.82%E +0.676%K +0.787%G +0.038% | 5.17I 19.34%NM 18.55%EV -0.391%E -0.076%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 08:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 08:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| betPARX | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.10%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.26%EV -11.52%E -8.60%K -33.87%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV +2.91%E +0.416%K +0.485%G +0.014% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -12.84%E -9.73%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -0.765%E -0.113%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.00%EV -12.84%E -9.73%K -40.12%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.30%EV -0.765%E -0.113%K -0.133%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.70%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-18 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 67.96%EV -10.86%E -8.04%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.69%EV -1.50%E -0.224%K -0.263%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -3.67%E -0.733%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 04:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.86%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -2.97%E -0.450%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.67%E -0.733%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.86%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.28%EV -2.97%E -0.450%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.67%E -0.733%K -0.917%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bovada | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.63%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 10:55 |
| BetUS | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.63%E -0.935%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -4.44%E -0.683%K -0.807%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.25%E -2.93%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.80%EV -5.32%E -0.826%K -0.978%G +0.000% | 4.89I 20.45%NM 19.49%EV -5.79%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.68%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-18 11:28 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -8.12%E -1.30%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -8.48%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-18 10:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.25%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -7.52%E -1.57%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 14:49 |
| Betway | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.26%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.32%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.40%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -10.20%E -7.50%K -28.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.30%E -2.96%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.01%EV -12.18%E -9.16%K -36.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41%EV -11.79%E -1.97%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -19.08%E -4.54%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.05%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -13.26%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.18%EV -6.56%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betsson | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.05%EV -5.57%E -3.90%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.77%EV -13.26%E -2.25%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.18%EV -6.56%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-18 11:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.64%EV -6.23%E -4.39%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -14.73%E -2.54%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.53%EV -9.45%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.76%EV -6.90%E -4.89%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -19.14%E -3.48%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 63.88%EV -8.88%E -6.43%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.95%EV -23.55%E -4.53%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.16%EV -11.37%E -2.47%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.45I 68.97%NM 69.00% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 13.01% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.99% | -0.0% | 2026-04-18 11:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.84% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.13% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.23% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.12% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.65% | 1.2% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.5% | 2026-04-18 11:30 |