Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.07
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 4.20
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local): 46.73%; Beijing FC (Visit): 29.54%; Draw: 23.73%. For Beijing FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.39. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.437%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV +0.437%E +0.129%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV +0.437%E +0.129%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -0.154%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.52%E -0.763%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -9.34%E -4.81%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -3.11%E -0.947%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -8.42%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.45%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -3.70%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.86%EV -2.96%E -0.724%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -4.66%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.10%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -0.353%E -0.084%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.10%EV -8.40%E -4.29%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -13.40%E -3.67%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-18 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.86%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.15%EV -15.88%E -8.82%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-08-18 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.40%E -4.29%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.14%EV -4.66%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -17.29%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.25%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -17.29%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |