语言:简体中文
Shanghai Shenhua FC v Beijing FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Shanghai Shenhua FC (主队)
预测 46.73%2.14公平赔率
EV -3.26%
优势 -1.57%
Kelly -3.05%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.07
博彩公司预测分布
44.14%46.63%46.65%48.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.992.002.0755.56%50.22%50.00%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
Beijing FC (客队)
预测 29.54%3.39公平赔率
EV +0.437%
优势 +0.129%
Kelly +0.182%
增长率 +0.001%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.93%29.71%29.64%32.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.71%32.79%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 23.73%4.21公平赔率
EV -0.353%
优势 -0.084%
Kelly -0.110%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.48%23.66%23.71%24.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.603.873.904.2027.78%25.86%25.64%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Shanghai Shenhua FC (主队)：46.73%；Beijing FC (客队)：29.54%；平局：23.73%。 对于“Beijing FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.39。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.40，对应+0.437%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV +0.437%E +0.129%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV +0.437%E +0.129%K +0.182%G +0.001% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -0.154%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.52%E -0.763%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -9.34%E -4.81%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -3.11%E -0.947%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -8.42%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 11:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.45%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -3.70%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 22.86%EV -2.96%E -0.724%K -0.959%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 11:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-18 11:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-18 11:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 11:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -4.66%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.10%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -0.353%E -0.084%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.10%EV -8.40%E -4.29%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -13.40%E -3.67%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-18 11:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.86%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 47.15%EV -15.88%E -8.82%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-08-18 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.40%E -4.29%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-18 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.14%EV -4.66%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -17.29%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.25%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -17.29%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-18 05:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 11:25 |