Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC v Beijing FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-18 11:35 UTC

Score final : Shanghai Shenhua FC 0–3 Beijing FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local)

Prévision 46.73%2.14cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.14%46.63%46.65%48.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.992.002.0755.56%50.22%50.00%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.54%3.39cote équitable
EV +0.437%
Avantage +0.129%
Kelly +0.182%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.93%29.71%29.64%32.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.753.063.053.4036.36%32.71%32.79%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.73%4.21cote équitable
EV -0.353%
Avantage -0.084%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.48%23.66%23.71%24.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.873.904.2027.78%25.86%25.64%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Shanghai Shenhua FC (Local) : 46.73% ; Beijing FC (Visiteur) : 29.54% ; Match nul : 23.73%. Pour Beijing FC (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.39. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +0.437%.

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV +0.437%E +0.129%K +0.182%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.72%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV +0.437%E +0.129%K +0.182%G +0.001%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.56%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.42%EV -0.154%E -0.045%K -0.065%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-18 11:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -2.52%E -0.763%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 11:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.75%EV -9.34%E -4.81%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.24%EV -3.11%E -0.947%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.00%EV -8.42%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-18 11:29
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.45%EV -9.80%E -5.08%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -3.70%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.86%EV -2.96%E -0.724%K -0.959%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 11:25
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.00%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-18 11:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 11:30
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 11:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -3.99%E -1.23%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 11:30
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 11:25
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -5.47%E -1.71%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-18 11:10
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 11:29
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -6.95%E -2.21%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-18 11:15
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 11:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-18 11:24
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.72%EV -7.93%E -4.03%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.60%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 11:20
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.42%E -2.72%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 11:09
GTbets🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.62%EV -4.66%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 11:25
Codere (IT)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.10%EV -7.00%E -3.52%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.66%E -2.25%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 11:25
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 11:25
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.83%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -9.90%E -3.25%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-18 11:25
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -0.353%E -0.084%K -0.110%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-18 11:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.54%EV -4.19%E -2.05%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-18 11:10
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 11:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.10%EV -8.40%E -4.29%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-18 11:25
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.15%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.10%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -13.40%E -3.67%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-18 11:25
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-18 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-18 11:25
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-18 11:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -8.87%E -4.55%K -9.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.38%E -3.79%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-18 11:25
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -12.86%E -4.36%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -6.28%E -1.59%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-18 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.67%EV -6.53%E -3.27%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -5.10%E -1.27%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-18 11:10
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 47.15%EV -15.88%E -8.82%K -19.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.27%EV -14.33%E -4.94%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.58%EV -14.59%E -4.05%K -5.61%G +0.000%17.8%2026-08-18 11:24
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 05:14
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 05:14
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 05:14
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 05:14
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 05:14
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.45%EV -3.26%E -1.57%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.95%EV -14.92%E -5.18%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 05:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.66%EV -8.40%E -4.29%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.40%EV -15.81%E -5.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.47%E -1.92%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-18 11:10
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.14%EV -4.66%E -2.29%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.16%EV -17.29%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -9.84%E -2.59%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 05:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.25%EV -5.60%E -2.77%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -17.29%E -6.17%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -11.03%E -2.94%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-18 05:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-18 05:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.34%EV -7.47%E -3.77%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.93%EV -18.76%E -6.82%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.73%EV -12.22%E -3.30%K -4.52%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-18 05:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-18 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-18 11:30
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.34%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-08-18 11:30
Kalshi◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-08-18 11:25