The School of Odds

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

2026-07-17 11:00 UTC — Super League - China

Head to Head

22 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prediction 22.60%4.43fair odd
EV -0.568%
Edge -0.129%
Kelly -0.167%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.93%22.49%22.74%23.93%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.554.074.104.4028%25%24%23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visit)

Prediction 52.70%1.90fair odd
EV -7.25%
Edge -4.12%
Kelly -9.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.57%52.79%52.62%54.18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.731.7661%58%58%57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -6.13%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.63%24.72%24.64%25.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.503.683.703.8029%27%27%26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -0.568%E -0.129%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -10.41%E -6.13%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 09:40
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.20%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.61%EV -7.25%E -4.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -3.66%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 09:40
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-13 09:44
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.25%E -4.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:49
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.25%E -4.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:49
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.25%E -4.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:50
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.25%E -4.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:50
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.25%E -4.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:50
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.92%EV -7.25%E -4.12%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-13 11:50
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -3.96%E -0.931%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-13 11:50
1xBet4.22I 23.70%NM 22.61%EV -4.64%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -5.14%E -2.86%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.40%EV -3.41%E -0.872%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-13 09:44
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -6.20%E -3.48%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 09:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.66%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-13 09:44
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.75%EV -8.30%E -4.77%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.66%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -5.09%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.03%EV -8.83%E -5.11%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-13 11:50
GTbets4.15I 24.10%NM 22.73%EV -6.22%E -1.50%K -1.97%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.70%EV -5.67%E -3.17%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.57%EV -5.14%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-13 09:40
Bovada4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.87%EV -6.72%E -3.80%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -4.89%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 09:43
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -5.67%E -3.17%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 09:40
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.25%EV -5.67%E -3.17%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-13 09:39
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.96%EV -8.30%E -4.77%K -11.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 09:40
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.10%EV -8.83%E -5.11%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-13 09:40
betano_uk4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.83%E -5.11%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 11:50
Bet Victor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.83%E -5.11%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.60%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 11:49
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.41%E -6.13%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 11:49
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.97%EV -7.35%E -1.79%K -2.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.00%EV -10.41%E -6.13%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 11:50
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.48%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 09:40
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -8.48%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-13 09:40
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-13 09:40
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -8.83%E -5.11%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.13%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-13 09:39
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.83%E -5.11%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 09:40
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 09:40
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.61%E -2.40%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.78%E -4.44%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-13 09:40
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.36%E -5.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-13 09:40
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -11.87%E -3.04%K -4.09%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.29%EV -9.36%E -5.44%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-13 09:40
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -14.13%E -3.72%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -11.99%E -7.18%K -17.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -11.07%E -3.07%K -4.26%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-13 09:40
Winamax (DE)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -15.26%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%EV -11.47%E -6.83%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -7.36%E -1.96%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-13 09:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -15.26%E -4.07%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.57%EV -10.41%E -6.13%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-13 09:40
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 23.93%EV -19.78%E -5.57%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 51.80%EV -13.57%E -8.28%K -21.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.27%EV -13.54%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%17.7%2026-07-13 09:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.