L’École des cotes

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-17 11:00 UTC

Score final : Qingdao West Coast FC 1–1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prévision 25.20%3.97cote équitable
EV +7.10%
Avantage +1.67%
Kelly +2.19%
Croissance +0.155%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.78%25.02%25.22%26.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.783.704.2530.30%26.45%27.03%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.03%2.00cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.78%
Kelly -3.70%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.19%50.20%50.16%55.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.811.831.9359.88%55.22%54.64%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.77%4.04cote équitable
EV +1.56%
Avantage +0.380%
Kelly +0.502%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.57%24.78%24.63%25.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.753.754.1027.78%26.68%26.67%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:40
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:40
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -13.95%E -8.11%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 10:35
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.40%EV -16.45%E -9.85%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV +1.56%E +0.380%K +0.502%G +0.008%8.1%2026-07-17 06:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -14.95%E -8.79%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 10:35
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV +3.32%E +0.811%K +1.07%G +0.036%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -16.45%E -9.85%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV +3.32%E +0.811%K +1.07%G +0.036%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -16.45%E -9.85%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Pinnacle3.91I 25.58%NM 24.58%EV -1.46%E -0.374%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -3.94%E -2.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.36%EV -6.12%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 10:55
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -1.72%E -0.440%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:54
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 10:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 10:50
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 10:50
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 10:50
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 10:35
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 10:50
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -6.00%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.32%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -2.16%E -0.546%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 10:55
GTbets3.71I 26.95%NM 24.94%EV -6.50%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.69%EV -10.45%E -5.84%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.483%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 10:00
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.44%E -2.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 10:55
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 10:55
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 10:35
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.07%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -7.86%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 10:55
betano_uk3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:25
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:24
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 10:45
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 10:49
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:05
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 10:05
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 10:05
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 10:10
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 10:35
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:50
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:50
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 10:05
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 10:05
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 09:55
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 09:55
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -13.06%E -3.78%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 10:05
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 10:50
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 10:00
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -16.84%E -5.10%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -10.95%E -6.15%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 10:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-07-17 10:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-17 10:55
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-07-17 10:40