مدرسة الاحتمالات

Qingdao West Coast FC v Chengdu Rongcheng FC

البداية: 2026-07-17 11:00 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Qingdao West Coast FC 1–1 Chengdu Rongcheng FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

46 شركة مراهنات (17 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 25.20%3.97السعر العادل
EV +7.10%
الأفضلية +1.67%
Kelly +2.19%
النمو +0.155%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.78%25.02%25.22%26.65%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.783.704.2530.30%26.45%27.03%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Chengdu Rongcheng FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 50.03%2.00السعر العادل
EV -3.44%
الأفضلية -1.78%
Kelly -3.70%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.19%50.20%50.16%55.40%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.811.831.9359.88%55.22%54.64%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.77%4.04السعر العادل
EV +1.56%
الأفضلية +0.380%
Kelly +0.502%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.10

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.57%24.78%24.63%25.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.753.754.1027.78%26.68%26.67%24.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (46 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Unibet (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:40
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:35
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:40
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV +7.10%E +1.67%K +2.19%G +0.155%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -13.95%E -8.11%K -19.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 10:35
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.40%EV -16.45%E -9.85%K -24.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV +1.56%E +0.380%K +0.502%G +0.008%8.1%2026-07-17 06:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV +5.84%E +1.39%K +1.83%G +0.107%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -14.95%E -8.79%K -21.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-17 10:35
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV +3.32%E +0.811%K +1.07%G +0.036%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -16.45%E -9.85%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV +3.32%E +0.811%K +1.07%G +0.036%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -16.45%E -9.85%K -24.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-17 10:35
Pinnacle3.91I 25.58%NM 24.58%EV -1.46%E -0.374%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.06%EV -3.94%E -2.05%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.36%EV -6.12%E -1.62%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-17 10:55
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -1.72%E -0.440%K -0.592%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:54
SportsBet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-17 10:50
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -4.24%E -1.11%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-17 10:50
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 10:50
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.44%E -1.78%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-17 10:50
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -6.45%E -3.45%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-17 10:35
Betway3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.50%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 10:50
1xBet3.73I 26.81%NM 25.04%EV -6.00%E -1.61%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.32%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -2.16%E -0.546%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 10:55
GTbets3.71I 26.95%NM 24.94%EV -6.50%E -1.75%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.69%EV -10.45%E -5.84%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.37%EV -1.91%E -0.483%K -0.646%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-17 10:00
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.37%EV -4.44%E -2.33%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-17 10:55
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-17 10:55
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-17 10:35
Marathon Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.07%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 24.90%EV -7.86%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-17 10:55
betano_uk3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:25
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 10:24
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -6.76%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.34%EV -9.95%E -5.53%K -12.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 10:45
Everygame3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -8.02%E -2.20%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-17 10:49
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-17 10:05
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 10:05
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.60%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.82%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-17 10:05
betfred_uk3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 10:10
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-17 10:35
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:50
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-17 10:50
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -9.28%E -2.58%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-17 10:05
Codere (IT)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 10:05
LeoVegas3.55I 28.17%NM 25.87%EV -10.54%E -2.97%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.64%EV -7.45%E -4.03%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-17 10:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 09:55
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -11.80%E -3.37%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -8.45%E -4.62%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-17 09:55
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -13.06%E -3.78%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.99%EV -8.95%E -4.92%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.63%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-17 10:05
PlayUp3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -5.95%E -3.16%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-17 10:50
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -14.32%E -4.21%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.76%EV -13.45%E -7.77%K -18.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 10:00
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -16.84%E -5.10%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.33%EV -10.95%E -6.15%K -14.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.06%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-17 10:05
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-07-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-07-17 10:55
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07%1.0%2026-07-17 10:55
Kalshi4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74%1.1%2026-07-17 10:40