Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 1.80
assuming max odds 4.03
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao West Coast FC (Local): 23.08%; Beijing FC (Visit): 52.73%; Draw: 24.19%. For Qingdao West Coast FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.33. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.84%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.83%E -5.75%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV +0.377%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV +0.377%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.30%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.81%EV -2.49%E -0.619%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.02%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.43%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -6.08%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -5.61%E -3.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -8.79%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.79%EV -6.08%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.31%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.12%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.22%E -0.805%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -6.12%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 11:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.36%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.16%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.31%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.31%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -14.62%E -3.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -12.47%E -7.51%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-19 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -22.58%E -7.06%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |