La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Qingdao West Coast FC v Beijing FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)
Predicción 23.08%4.33momio equitativo
EV +3.84%
Ventaja +0.853%
Kelly +1.10%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.69%22.99%23.08%24.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.084.004.5027.78%24.48%25.00%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Beijing FC (Visitante)
Predicción 52.73%1.90momio equitativo
EV -5.09%
Ventaja -2.83%
Kelly -6.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.48%52.80%52.67%54.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.741.751.8060.24%57.47%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.19%4.13momio equitativo
EV -2.49%
Ventaja -0.619%
Kelly -0.823%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.41%24.21%24.24%26.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.743.754.0331.25%26.73%26.67%24.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Unibet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:19 |
| TABtouch | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| betPARX | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.83%E -5.75%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV +0.377%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV +0.377%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-19 09:20 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Pinnacle | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.30%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.81%EV -2.49%E -0.619%K -0.823%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Bovada | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.02%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| DraftKings | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.43%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| BetUS | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| 1xBet | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -6.08%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -5.61%E -3.14%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -8.79%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| GTbets | 4.07I 24.57%NM 22.79%EV -6.08%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.31%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.12%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betsson | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.22%E -0.805%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -6.12%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Bet Right | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| betfred_uk | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-19 11:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.36%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Everygame | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-19 11:49 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.16%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.31%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.31%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -14.62%E -3.95%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -12.47%E -7.51%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-05-19 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -22.58%E -7.06%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 11:50 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29% | 2.9% | 2026-05-19 11:40 |