L’École des cotes

Qingdao West Coast FC v Beijing FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 12:00 UTC

Score final : Qingdao West Coast FC 1–1 Beijing FC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao West Coast FC (Local)

Prévision 23.08%4.33cote équitable
EV +3.84%
Avantage +0.853%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.042%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.69%22.99%23.08%24.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.084.004.5027.78%24.48%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Beijing FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.73%1.90cote équitable
EV -5.09%
Avantage -2.83%
Kelly -6.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.48%52.80%52.67%54.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.741.751.8060.24%57.47%57.14%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.19%4.13cote équitable
EV -2.49%
Avantage -0.619%
Kelly -0.823%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.03

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.41%24.21%24.24%26.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.743.754.0331.25%26.73%26.67%24.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 09:20
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 09:20
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 09:20
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 09:19
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 09:20
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +3.84%E +0.853%K +1.10%G +0.042%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.14%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-19 09:20
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -9.83%E -5.75%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-19 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 09:20
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +1.53%E +0.348%K +0.450%G +0.007%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 09:20
Virgin Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV +0.377%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 09:20
LiveScore Bet4.35I 22.99%NM 20.78%EV +0.377%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 09:20
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.02%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:39
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -7.20%E -4.09%K -9.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-19 11:50
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.08%E -0.734%K -0.964%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.35%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 11:40
Pinnacle4.19I 23.87%NM 22.90%EV -3.32%E -0.791%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.30%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.81%EV -2.49%E -0.619%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-19 11:40
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -4.24%E -1.02%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.02%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:50
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -4.43%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:40
BetUS4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -5.39%E -1.32%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.73%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -6.85%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:50
1xBet4.07I 24.57%NM 22.97%EV -6.08%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -5.61%E -3.14%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.80%EV -8.79%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:50
GTbets4.07I 24.57%NM 22.79%EV -6.08%E -1.49%K -1.98%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.31%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.91%EV -6.12%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:50
NordicBet4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 11:50
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 22.83%EV -6.55%E -1.62%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.84%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 11:50
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.67%E -3.77%K -8.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -3.22%E -0.805%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:40
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 11:40
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.09%E -2.83%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 11:40
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.26%EV -6.14%E -3.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.06%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 11:50
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.02%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:40
Marathon Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.95%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 23.88%EV -6.12%E -1.58%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:40
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.52%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:49
Bet Right4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.66%EV -8.25%E -4.74%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 11:40
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -7.70%E -1.92%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-19 11:39
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -8.85%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.36%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 11:50
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.13%EV -9.30%E -5.41%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -5.64%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-19 11:50
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:40
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:40
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:40
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.04%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -10.48%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-19 11:49
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.86%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.87%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 11:49
Neds3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -10.01%E -2.57%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.97%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.98%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 11:40
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.50%EV -11.16%E -2.90%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.71%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -11.69%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-19 11:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.31%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -7.72%E -4.41%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 11:40
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.31%E -3.24%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -11.94%E -7.15%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -12.90%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Winamax (FR)3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -14.62%E -3.95%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.87%EV -12.47%E -7.51%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-19 11:50
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -10.36%E -6.09%K -14.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -9.27%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-19 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.78%EV -16.93%E -4.70%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.48%EV -8.78%E -5.07%K -12.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.75%EV -22.58%E -7.06%K -10.26%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-19 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.34%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-05-19 11:50
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.33%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-05-19 11:40