Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.97
assuming max odds 2.35
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 33.42%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 41.24%; Draw: 25.34%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.97, with an expected value of -0.747%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -0.747%E -0.252%K -0.379%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -2.42%E -0.828%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -3.45%E -0.906%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-26 03:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -4.42%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.36%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -4.42%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.36%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-26 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-26 11:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-26 03:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-26 11:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-26 03:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.45%E -3.80%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -6.75%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-26 10:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-26 03:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-26 03:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-26 03:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 03:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-26 03:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-26 11:28 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.04%EV -7.62%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-26 03:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-26 08:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-26 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-26 03:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-06-26 03:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-26 11:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 04:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 04:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 04:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 04:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-26 04:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.54%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-26 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-26 04:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -12.44%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-26 03:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-26 04:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-26 04:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -13.39%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-06-26 03:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.46%E -7.54%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-06-26 03:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -16.45%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.39%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -23.98%E -7.99%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-06-26 10:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-06-26 11:29 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54% | 0.4% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48% | 0.6% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.69% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.59% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-26 11:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-06-26 11:00 |