La escuela de los momios

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Yunnan Yukun

Inicio: 2026-06-26 11:35 UTC

Final: Qingdao Hainiu FC 4–2 Yunnan Yukun

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Predicción 33.42%2.99momio equitativo
EV -0.747%
Ventaja -0.252%
Kelly -0.379%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.97

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.49%33.49%33.41%34.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.742.752.9740.00%36.55%36.36%33.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Yunnan Yukun (Visitante)

Predicción 41.24%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.08%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.37%41.17%41.20%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.37%44.44%42.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.34%3.95momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.633%
Kelly -0.856%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.15%25.35%25.39%27.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.593.603.8533.33%27.83%27.78%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -0.747%E -0.252%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 11:29
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -2.42%E -0.828%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -3.45%E -0.906%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 11:30
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 03:30
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -4.42%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.36%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:19
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -4.42%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.36%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:19
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:28
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:30
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 03:19
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 11:00
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 03:20
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.45%E -3.80%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -6.75%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 10:49
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 03:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:30
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:29
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:29
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 03:19
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 03:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 03:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 03:40
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:30
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:28
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.04%EV -7.62%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 03:20
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 03:39
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 03:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 11:29
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 11:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 11:30
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:49
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.54%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 04:49
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -12.44%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 03:40
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 04:49
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 04:49
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -13.39%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-26 03:20
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.46%E -7.54%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-26 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -16.45%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.39%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -23.98%E -7.99%K -11.99%G +0.000%21.0%2026-06-26 10:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-06-26 11:29
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-06-26 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-06-26 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.69%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-06-26 11:30
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-06-26 11:00