L’École des cotes

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Yunnan Yukun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-26 11:35 UTC

Score final : Qingdao Hainiu FC 4–2 Yunnan Yukun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Prévision 33.42%2.99cote équitable
EV -0.747%
Avantage -0.252%
Kelly -0.379%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.49%33.49%33.41%34.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.742.752.9740.00%36.55%36.36%33.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Yunnan Yukun (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.24%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.08%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.37%41.17%41.20%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.252.3548.78%44.37%44.44%42.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.34%3.95cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.633%
Kelly -0.856%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.15%25.35%25.39%27.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.593.603.8533.33%27.83%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.49%EV -0.747%E -0.252%K -0.379%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -10.51%E -4.84%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.41%EV -6.75%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-26 11:29
Pinnacle2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -2.42%E -0.828%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.71%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.29%EV -3.45%E -0.906%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-26 11:30
GTbets2.88I 34.72%NM 32.53%EV -3.75%E -1.30%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -6.80%E -3.01%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-26 03:30
BetOnline.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -4.42%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.36%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:19
LowVig.ag2.86I 34.97%NM 33.27%EV -4.42%E -1.55%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.36%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-26 11:19
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:28
BetUS2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -4.76%E -1.67%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:30
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.856%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-26 03:19
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-26 11:00
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-26 11:29
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-26 03:20
Marathon Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -8.45%E -3.80%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.18%EV -6.75%E -1.83%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-26 10:49
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-26 03:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:30
William Hill2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:29
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:29
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -6.43%E -2.30%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 11:29
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 03:19
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.25%EV -7.10%E -2.55%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.08%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.67%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-26 03:30
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -2.44%E -0.633%K -0.856%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-26 03:39
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-26 03:40
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -5.15%E -2.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-26 11:30
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-26 11:28
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.04%EV -7.62%E -3.40%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-26 03:20
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-26 08:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 11:10
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.10%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.33%E -5.27%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-26 11:09
Bet Right2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-26 03:39
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.50%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.24%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-26 03:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-26 11:29
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -9.27%E -4.21%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 11:09
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -9.77%E -3.62%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.76%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -13.84%E -4.07%K -5.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-26 11:30
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:49
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:50
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.92%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -3.08%E -1.31%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-26 04:49
LeoVegas2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -11.44%E -4.32%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.54%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-26 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 34.79%EV -12.11%E -4.60%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.44%EV -4.32%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.77%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 04:49
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -12.44%E -4.75%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -7.21%E -3.20%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -4.97%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-26 03:40
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 04:49
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.55%EV -5.97%E -2.62%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -11.31%E -3.23%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-26 04:49
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.66%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.68%EV -13.39%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -10.04%E -2.83%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.2%2026-06-26 03:20
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 33.44%EV -13.11%E -5.04%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -15.46%E -7.54%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.15%EV -8.77%E -2.44%K -3.37%G +0.000%15.0%2026-06-26 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.07%EV -16.45%E -6.58%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 39.37%EV -13.39%E -6.38%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.56%EV -23.98%E -7.99%K -11.99%G +0.000%21.0%2026-06-26 10:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-06-26 11:29
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.65%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.82%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.54%0.4%2026-06-26 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.48%0.6%2026-06-26 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.94I 34.01%NM 33.69%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-06-26 11:30
Kalshi2.94I 34.01%NM 33.37%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.10%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-06-26 11:00