Language:English
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Prediction 24.39%4.10fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.610%
Kelly -0.813%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.04%24.31%24.42%25.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.793.804.0029.41%26.41%26.32%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit)
Prediction 50.84%1.97fair odd
EV -4.93%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.54%50.86%50.84%52.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.811.801.8758.82%55.37%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV -4.14%
Edge -1.07%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.27%24.83%24.74%26.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.693.703.8730.30%27.11%27.03%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 24.39%; Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visit): 50.84%; Draw: 24.77%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -2.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.08%EV -3.41%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.27%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.64%EV -4.14%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -5.12%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.93%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.07%EV -5.61%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.98%E -4.41%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.98%E -4.41%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -6.86%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.98%EV -9.00%E -5.03%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.03%E -6.30%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -9.00%E -5.03%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -13.57%E -7.99%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -12.05%E -6.96%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -18.25%E -5.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.51%E -5.34%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -11.03%E -6.30%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -17.07%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -12.56%E -7.30%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.34%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |