La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Predicción 24.39%4.10momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.610%
Kelly -0.813%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.04%24.31%24.42%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.793.804.0029.41%26.41%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visitante)
Predicción 50.84%1.97momio equitativo
EV -4.93%
Ventaja -2.64%
Kelly -5.67%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.54%50.86%50.84%52.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.801.8758.82%55.37%55.56%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.77%4.04momio equitativo
EV -4.14%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.27%24.83%24.74%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.693.703.8730.30%27.11%27.03%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:15 |
| FanDuel | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| 1xBet | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.08%EV -3.41%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.27%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.64%EV -4.14%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -5.12%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.93%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 16:45 |
| GTbets | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.07%EV -5.61%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.98%E -4.41%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Bovada | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:43 |
| BetUS | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:35 |
| LeoVegas | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Unibet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| betPARX | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.98%E -4.41%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -6.86%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 18:00 |
| 888sport | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| William Hill | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.98%EV -9.00%E -5.03%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.03%E -6.30%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-22 15:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-24 01:35 |
| Betsson | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| betfred_uk | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 15:09 |
| Bet Right | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 10:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 05:34 |
| Bet Victor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 16:44 |
| PlayUp | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 10:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -9.00%E -5.03%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-22 12:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -13.57%E -7.99%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -12.05%E -6.96%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -18.25%E -5.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 09:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.51%E -5.34%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
| BoyleSports | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -11.03%E -6.30%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 16:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -17.07%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -12.56%E -7.30%K -17.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.34%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 12:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |