L’École des cotes

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Shandong Luneng Taishan FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Prévision 24.39%4.10cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.610%
Kelly -0.813%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.04%24.31%24.42%25.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.793.804.0029.41%26.41%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Shandong Luneng Taishan FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.84%1.97cote équitable
EV -4.93%
Avantage -2.64%
Kelly -5.67%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.54%50.86%50.84%52.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.801.8758.82%55.37%55.56%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.77%4.04cote équitable
EV -4.14%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.27%24.83%24.74%26.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.693.703.8730.30%27.11%27.03%25.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.74%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.59%EV -4.63%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 15:09
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:15
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 15:14
Tipico (DE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -2.44%E -0.610%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -10.02%E -5.66%K -13.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:30
1xBet3.96I 25.25%NM 24.08%EV -3.41%E -0.862%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.27%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.64%EV -4.14%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 17:05
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -4.88%E -1.25%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 10:40
Pinnacle3.89I 25.71%NM 24.28%EV -5.12%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.44%E -2.92%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.93%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 16:45
GTbets3.87I 25.84%NM 24.07%EV -5.61%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.98%E -4.41%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.45%EV -5.62%E -1.48%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 12:04
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:43
BetUS3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:39
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:35
Grosvenor3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:35
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:35
LeoVegas3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:34
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:34
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:34
Unibet (NL)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:34
betPARX3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -6.10%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 05:34
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.14%EV -6.34%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.98%E -4.41%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -6.86%E -1.82%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Unibet (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.87%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 12:04
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.77%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 18:00
888sport3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:30
William Hill3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:30
888sport (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:29
Mr Green (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -5.95%E -3.22%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.98%EV -9.00%E -5.03%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 05:34
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -7.32%E -1.93%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -11.03%E -6.30%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 15:14
LowVig.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:34
BetOnline.ag3.75I 26.67%NM 24.80%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -9.58%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-24 01:35
Betsson3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:05
NordicBet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.74%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 12:04
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 15:09
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 10:40
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 05:34
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 23.97%EV -8.54%E -2.28%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.07%EV -10.52%E -5.98%K -13.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 05:34
Bet Victor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.76%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:44
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.70%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.54%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-23 10:34
Codere (IT)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.67%EV -10.98%E -3.01%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -9.00%E -5.03%K -11.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 12:04
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 12:20
Unibet (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -13.57%E -7.99%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.82%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-23 12:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.97%EV -12.19%E -3.39%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.88%EV -12.05%E -6.96%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.15%EV -18.25%E -5.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 09:05
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -13.41%E -3.78%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.44%EV -9.51%E -5.34%K -12.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 12:04
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -14.63%E -4.18%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.00%EV -11.03%E -6.30%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -13.30%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-23 16:39
Winamax (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -17.07%E -5.02%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.24%EV -12.56%E -7.30%K -17.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.34%EV -12.06%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 12:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%8.1%2026-04-24 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%10.9%2026-04-23 22:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%10.9%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.77%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.65%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.57%10.9%2026-04-23 22:10