Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.46
assuming max odds 1.83
assuming max odds 3.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local): 23.18%; Henan FC (Visit): 51.99%; Draw: 24.83%. For Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.46, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.38%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.00%EV +3.38%E +0.759%K +0.978%G +0.033% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.82%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.53%EV -1.25%E -0.294%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -3.68%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -3.80%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.57%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -3.80%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.64%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -4.96%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.96%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.96%EV -6.41%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -10.76%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.16%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.69%E -8.25%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -13.17%E -7.89%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-03 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.23%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.23%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.39%E -4.22%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -10.57%E -6.15%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -16.55%E -4.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 06:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |