L’École des cotesFrançais
Qingdao Hainiu FC v Henan FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)
Prévision 23.18%4.31cote équitable
EV +3.38%
Avantage +0.759%
Kelly +0.978%
Croissance +0.033%
avec la cote maximale 4.46
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.00%23.21%23.30%24.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.923.904.4627.78%25.49%25.64%22.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Henan FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 51.99%1.92cote équitable
EV -4.85%
Avantage -2.65%
Kelly -5.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.88%51.99%51.81%53.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.661.771.781.8360.24%56.35%56.18%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.83%4.03cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.491%
Kelly -0.658%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.12%24.80%24.89%25.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.703.703.9530.30%27.05%27.03%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.00%EV +3.38%E +0.759%K +0.978%G +0.033% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.82%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Pinnacle | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.53%EV -1.25%E -0.294%K -0.384%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -3.68%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| BetUS | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Bovada | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -3.80%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.57%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -3.80%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.64%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| FanDuel | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -4.96%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.96%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| GTbets | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 24.96%EV -6.41%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Coolbet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-04 07:24 |
| Betway | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 07:15 |
| 888sport | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| Everygame | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 07:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -10.76%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 07:19 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Grosvenor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Unibet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| betPARX | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-04 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.16%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.69%E -8.25%K -20.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-03 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -13.17%E -7.89%K -19.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-03 15:40 |
| Neds | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.23%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.23%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 06:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.39%E -4.22%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -10.57%E -6.15%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| BoyleSports | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -16.55%E -4.60%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-04 06:49 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25% | 0.6% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Kalshi | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51% | 2.0% | 2026-04-04 07:25 |