La escuela de los momios

Qingdao Hainiu FC v Henan FC

Inicio: 2026-04-04 07:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Qingdao Hainiu FC (Local)

Predicción 23.18%4.31momio equitativo
EV +3.38%
Ventaja +0.759%
Kelly +0.978%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.00%23.21%23.30%24.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.923.904.4627.78%25.49%25.64%22.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Henan FC (Visitante)

Predicción 51.99%1.92momio equitativo
EV -4.85%
Ventaja -2.65%
Kelly -5.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.88%51.99%51.81%53.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.771.781.8360.24%56.35%56.18%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.83%4.03momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.491%
Kelly -0.658%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.12%24.80%24.89%25.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.703.703.9530.30%27.05%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet4.46I 22.42%NM 21.00%EV +3.38%E +0.759%K +0.978%G +0.033%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.82%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.18%EV -7.65%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-04 07:25
Pinnacle4.26I 23.47%NM 22.53%EV -1.25%E -0.294%K -0.384%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.73%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.74%EV -3.68%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 07:25
LowVig.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 07:19
BetOnline.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 07:20
BetUS4.20I 23.81%NM 22.88%EV -2.64%E -0.629%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.80%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.94%E -0.491%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 07:20
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.67%EV -3.80%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.57%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 07:25
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.32%EV -3.80%E -0.916%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.64%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 07:19
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.55%EV -4.96%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.13%EV -9.53%E -5.48%K -12.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-04 07:24
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -4.96%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 07:24
GTbets4.08I 24.51%NM 23.06%EV -5.42%E -1.33%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.98%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.96%EV -6.41%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 06:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.87%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.52%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 07:00
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -4.85%E -2.65%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 06:50
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 07:19
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 07:24
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-04 07:24
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-04 07:15
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -7.28%E -1.82%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-04 07:25
NordicBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 07:20
Betsson3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 07:20
Codere (IT)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.44%E -2.14%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 07:25
PointsBet (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.66%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 07:00
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-04 07:19
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.60%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 07:05
Winamax (DE)3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -10.76%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 07:19
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.48%EV -10.76%E -2.79%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.06%EV -7.97%E -4.50%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-04 07:25
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:20
LeoVegas3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:19
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:20
TABtouch3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Unibet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:20
betPARX3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.88%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 18:20
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.46%EV -7.45%E -4.19%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -6.91%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-04 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.16%EV -6.93%E -3.87%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 18:20
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 07:25
Unibet (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -11.92%E -3.14%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.33%EV -13.69%E -8.25%K -20.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-04 07:20
LiveScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Virgin Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.24%EV -8.49%E -4.82%K -11.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -9.39%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-03 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.82%EV -13.07%E -3.49%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.25%EV -13.17%E -7.89%K -19.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.93%EV -18.08%E -5.48%K -7.86%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-03 15:40
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.23%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -14.23%E -3.85%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 06:50
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.39%E -4.22%K -5.81%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -10.57%E -6.15%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 07:20
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -16.55%E -4.60%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.43%EV -11.61%E -6.83%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.29%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-04 06:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-04-04 07:25
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.78%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%0.9%2026-04-04 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-04-04 07:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.70%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.51%2.0%2026-04-04 07:25