Language:English
Liaoning Tieren FC v Yunnan Yukun
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liaoning Tieren FC (Local)
Prediction 37.70%2.65fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.764%
Kelly -1.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.89%37.66%37.73%38.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.482.462.6043.48%40.36%40.65%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Yunnan Yukun (Visit)
Prediction 36.74%2.72fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.436%
Kelly -0.695%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%36.75%36.68%38.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.482.482.6942.92%40.29%40.32%37.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.56%3.91fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -0.683%
Kelly -0.926%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.38%25.59%25.59%27.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.603.653.8132.26%27.76%27.40%26.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liaoning Tieren FC (Local): 37.70%; Yunnan Yukun (Visit): 36.74%; Draw: 25.56%. For Yunnan Yukun (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.69, with an expected value of -1.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -1.99%E -0.764%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-09 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.34%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-06 04:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -3.87%E -1.52%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.62%EV -4.25%E -1.67%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.34%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.04%EV -6.18%E -1.68%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.57%EV -5.00%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.13%EV -3.75%E -1.43%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-09 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-09 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -14.40%E -6.18%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -5.76%E -2.30%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.77%EV -14.40%E -6.18%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-06 04:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.96%EV -6.89%E -2.79%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.78%EV -1.17%E -0.436%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.26%EV -2.60%E -0.683%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 01:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.65%EV -7.26%E -2.95%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.33%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -8.99%E -2.53%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -2.86%E -0.752%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-09 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.61%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.15%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -6.69%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-09 17:43 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.47%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.02%EV -8.89%E -3.58%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-09 23:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -13.08%E -3.85%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-09 17:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -7.64%E -3.12%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -15.64%E -4.74%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-09 17:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.85%EV -8.77%E -3.62%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -3.38%E -1.28%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 01:46 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.74%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-10 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 01:53 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.48%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.53%E -3.01%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.99%E -4.08%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -9.53%E -3.97%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -11.83%E -4.93%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.41%E -1.46%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-09 13:33 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -10.28%E -4.32%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -8.15%E -3.26%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -4.14%E -1.10%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 01:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.84%EV -11.41%E -4.86%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.80%EV -6.32%E -2.48%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.97%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 01:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.07%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.26%EV -13.67%E -5.81%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.67%EV -9.25%E -2.61%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-09 17:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -13.30%E -5.78%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 35.68%EV -12.56%E -5.28%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.39%EV -20.75%E -6.69%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-05-10 01:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 38.41% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 36.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 25.25% | -1.0% | 2026-05-10 01:59 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.98% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.32% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.70% | 2.6% | 2026-05-10 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82% | 3.6% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82% | 3.6% | 2026-05-10 03:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.94% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.24% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.82% | 3.6% | 2026-05-10 03:04 |